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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET72°F · 13 mph wind · clear⚾ Luis Severino vs Cristopher SanchezMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

Athletics 1 · Philadelphia Phillies 9

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Philadelphia Phillies on the back of Athletics’s margin work and Philadelphia Phillies’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 71%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 8.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHernaiz walked, Thomas scored, Soderstrom to second, Gelof to third.9th Inning1–9
  2. ScoreHarper homered to center (408 feet), Turner scored.8th Inning0–9
  3. ScoreHarper homered to right center (393 feet).3rd Inning0–1
  4. ScoreGarcía hit sacrifice fly to center, Turner scored.7th Inning0–2
  5. ScoreTurner singled to center, Crawford scored.8th Inning0–7
  6. 🏃 DoubleRealmuto doubled to left, Harper scored and Marsh scored.7th Inning0–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics000000001140
Philadelphia Phillies001000539140

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jacob Wilson SS·1-3301000116.296.313.394
Brent Rooker RF·0-4400000214.153.222.278
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-4401000111.244.408.407
Colby Thomas RF·1-4411000011.263.333.421
Zack Gelof CF·1-3301001010.256.304.419
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-3300001216.216.303.416
Austin Wynns C·0-4400000314.077.143.077
Darell Hernaiz 3B·0-3300101218.212.317.269
Brett Harris 3B·0-2200001114.000.400.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Severino SP·5.0711231102-614.15102
Scott Barlow RP1.00000108-63.788
Mark Leiter Jr. RP0.234411022-157.9822
Tyler Ferguson RP1.144401226-2027.0026

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·2-5522100118.241.299.372
Kyle Schwarber LF·0-5500000224.205.348.515
Bryce Harper 1B·3-4433321027.286.377.571
Adolis Garcia RF·0-3300101120.238.310.365
Brandon Marsh LF·3-5513000112.322.350.487
J.T. Realmuto C·1-4411200017.250.319.344
Bryson Stott 2B·2-441221009.210.259.362
Alec Bohm 3B·1-3301001012.161.230.210
Justin Crawford CF·2-4412000119.269.333.375

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cristopher Sanchez SP·8.0300110097-692.4297
Jhoan Duran RP1.011132027-122.3527

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningHarper walked.
  2. 2nd InningSchwarber struck out looking.
  3. 8th InningWilson struck out swinging.
  4. 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningHernaiz walked, Thomas scored, Soderstrom to second, Gelof to third.1–9
  2. 8th InningHarper homered to center (408 feet), Turner scored.0–9
  3. 3rd InningHarper homered to right center (393 feet).0–1
  4. 7th InningGarcía hit sacrifice fly to center, Turner scored.0–2
  5. 8th InningTurner singled to center, Crawford scored.0–7
  6. 7th InningRealmuto doubled to left, Harper scored and Marsh scored.0–4
  7. 7th InningStott homered to right center (398 feet), Realmuto scored.0–6

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