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In The Rafters

ATH @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET65°F · 6 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Jeffrey Springs vs Zack WheelerMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

Athletics 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 6

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Philadelphia Phillies is the model’s call — Athletics on the margin numbers, Philadelphia Phillies on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 59%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSosa singled to center, Harper scored and Schwarber scored, García to second.8th Inning3–4
  2. ScoreMarsh singled to center, García scored, Sosa to second.8th Inning3–5
  3. ScoreWilson singled to right, Butler scored.3rd Inning1–0
  4. ScoreSoderstrom homered to left (363 feet).6th Inning3–1
  5. ScoreKurtz singled to right, Gelof scored.5th Inning2–0
  6. ScoreCrawford grounded out to pitcher, Sosa scored, Stott to second, Marsh to third.8th Inning3–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics001011000371
Philadelphia Phillies00001104—6120

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·2-4402101025.252.414.409
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-000000000.212.317.269
Jacob Wilson SS·1-5501100117.293.309.388
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-4411110115.217.301.434
Brent Rooker RF·1-3301001210.160.235.293
Carlos Cortes RF·0-3300000013.372.437.615
Colby Thomas RF0-110000005.250.318.400
Brett Harris 3B0-000000000.000.400.000
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-4401000013.311.375.415
Jonah Heim C·0-4400000018.000.000.000
Lawrence Butler RF·0-2210002117.176.276.284
Zack Gelof CF·1-4411000315.255.300.426

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jeffrey Springs SP·5.182204175-553.8975
Justin Sterner RP0.20000007-44.427
Jack Perkins RP1.124212033-223.6833
Hogan Harris RP0.22000009-62.799

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·1-5501000119.240.296.367
Kyle Schwarber LF·1-3311001116.207.352.519
Bryce Harper 1B·0-4410000015.277.367.555
Adolis Garcia RF·2-4422110115.246.315.392
Edmundo Sosa 2B·2-4412200117.294.321.412
J.T. Realmuto C·2-4402000015.265.329.353
Brandon Marsh LF·3-4413100010.336.362.513
Alec Bohm 3B·0-220000003.159.227.206
Bryson Stott 2B1-220100017.215.263.364
Felix Reyes LF·0-220010002.133.133.267
Justin Crawford CF0-220010015.264.328.368

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Zack Wheeler SP·6.153314198-623.1298
Tim Mayza RP0.20000107-43.387
Jose Alvarado RP0.210012016-115.8416
Orion Kerkering RP0.10000005-42.085
Brad Keller RP1.010021022-114.0222

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningKurtz singled to left.
  2. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  3. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 8th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 8th InningPitch 5 : Strike 2 Looking
  6. 6th InningHarper grounded out to third.
  7. 3rd InningSoderstrom grounded out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningSosa singled to center, Harper scored and Schwarber scored, García to second.3–4
  2. 8th InningMarsh singled to center, García scored, Sosa to second.3–5
  3. 3rd InningWilson singled to right, Butler scored.1–0
  4. 6th InningSoderstrom homered to left (363 feet).3–1
  5. 5th InningKurtz singled to right, Gelof scored.2–0
  6. 8th InningCrawford grounded out to pitcher, Sosa scored, Stott to second, Marsh to third.3–6
  7. 6th InningGarcía homered to center (421 feet).3–2
  8. 5th InningReyes grounded out to shortstop, Marsh scored.2–1

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