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InTheRafters.com

PIT @ ARI

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Paul Skenes vs Michael SorokaMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readPittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · Arizona Diamondbacks 0

Final
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pittsburgh Pirates is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Pittsburgh Pirates on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 84%. Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

Arizona Diamondbacks

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32
Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLowe homered to center (435 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Pittsburgh Pirates100000000170
Arizona Diamondbacks000000000020

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·0-4400000111.250.306.473
Brandon Lowe 2B·2-4412110016.252.360.546
Bryan Reynolds LF·2-4402000110.260.402.420
Ryan O'Hearn RF·0-3300001017.294.381.452
Nick Gonzales 3B·0-3300000116.309.366.350
Jared Triolo SS0-000000000.222.300.296
Marcell Ozuna DH·1-4401000013.186.256.288
Spencer Horwitz 1B·1-4401000111.242.358.384
Billy Cook RF0-000000000.308.308.308
Konnor Griffin SS·1-4401000215.266.331.404
Henry Davis C·0-3300001120.156.253.273

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Paul Skenes SP·8.020007097-652.3697
Gregory Soto RP1.000011015-81.5015

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-3300001115.239.351.394
Ketel Marte 2B·0-4400000016.215.269.363
Corbin Carroll RF·0-4400000012.256.355.487
Adrian Del Castillo C·0-3300000112.214.243.386
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·0-330000006.364.386.627
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF·1-3301000114.255.340.298
Nolan Arenado 3B·1-330100019.274.325.434
Gabriel Moreno C·0-3300000214.250.295.411
Alek Thomas CF·0-2200000110.185.227.348
Jose Fernandez 1B0-110000014.301.337.430

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Soroka SP·6.171126193-654.1493
Kevin Ginkel RP0.20000009-63.459
Juan Morillo RP1.000000012-62.1612
Taylor Clarke RP1.000001015-92.6015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningMarte fouled out to catcher.
  2. 9th InningFernandez struck out looking.
  3. 7th InningLowe flied out to center.
  4. 3rd InningGonzales struck out swinging.
  5. 1st InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  6. 9th InningPitch 4 : Strike 3 Looking

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningLowe homered to center (435 feet).1–0

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