PIT @ ARI
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and venue edge. It is a projection, not betting advice.
Model pickPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates 5.3 · Arizona Diamondbacks 4.0
68%confidence
Pittsburgh Pirates19-17+0.6 margin/g · last 10: 40%
Arizona Diamondbacks17-17-0.6 margin/g · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Pittsburgh Pirates because Pittsburgh Pirates owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
Formula: season win rate, scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. This refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.