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In The Rafters

ATH @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
14–21 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET55°F · 2 mph wind · clear⚾ J.T. Ginn vs Andrew PainterMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 12 · Philadelphia Phillies 1

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies20-22-1-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.6) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Athletics gets the model’s nod thanks to Athletics’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 73%. Actual: Athletics by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Kyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-ILMax Lazar60-Day-IL

Athletics

Max Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-ILJacob Wilson10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Athletics beat Philadelphia Phillies 12-1.
  • Top line: J.T. Ginn (Athletics) — 8.0 IP, 8 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Zack Gelof (Athletics) — 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Brent Rooker (Athletics) — 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. ScoreGelof homered to left center (389 feet), Butler scored.7th Inning12–1
  2. 🏃 TripleGelof tripled to left, Butler scored.5th Inning9–1
  3. ScoreSchwarber homered to right (377 feet).4th Inning8–1
  4. ScoreRooker homered to left (384 feet), Soderstrom scored.1st Inning4–0
  5. ScoreRooker reached on infield single to second, Langeliers scored, Soderstrom to third.4th Inning8–0
  6. ScoreWilson homered to left (350 feet), Cortes scored.3rd Inning7–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics40312020012130
Philadelphia Phillies000100000160

Athletics

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-4411101123.252.413.405
Shea Langeliers C·2-5522210017.338.391.640
Tyler Soderstrom LF·1-3321002025.220.311.432
Brent Rooker DH·2-4412311126.177.256.342
Carlos Cortes RF·2-5512100116.373.435.602
Jacob Wilson SS·1-4411210013.291.308.404
Brett Harris 3B0-110000002.000.333.000
Lawrence Butler RF·1-4421001019.179.281.292
Zack Gelof CF·2-5522310126.269.309.519
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-4401000316.309.371.409
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-000000000.212.317.269

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
J.T. Ginn SP·8.041118196-613.6296
Brooks Kriske RP1.020001014-100.0014

Philadelphia Phillies

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·0-330000018.235.291.359
Garrett Stubbs C0-110000014.250.278.250
Kyle Schwarber DH·2-4412110013.216.355.540
Bryce Harper 1B·0-110000105.275.369.551
Felix Reyes LF1-220100018.156.156.281
Adolis Garcia RF·1-4401000111.246.313.388
Brandon Marsh LF·1-4401000113.333.359.504
Bryson Stott 2B·0-3300000117.209.256.355
Edmundo Sosa 2B·0-3300000110.278.304.389
Justin Crawford CF·1-330100019.266.328.367
Rafael Marchan C·0-3300000112.074.123.130

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andrew Painter SP·3.278832388-516.8988
Tanner Banks RP1.142212035-236.7535
Chase Shugart RP2.022212144-282.1344
Jonathan Bowlan RP1.000001011-67.4511
Garrett Stubbs C1.00000005-30.005

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningSoderstrom grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 7th InningGelof homered to left center (389 feet), Butler scored.12–1
  3. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  5. 6th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 1st InningSoderstrom walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningGelof homered to left center (389 feet), Butler scored.12–1
  2. 5th InningGelof tripled to left, Butler scored.9–1
  3. 4th InningSchwarber homered to right (377 feet).8–1
  4. 1st InningRooker homered to left (384 feet), Soderstrom scored.4–0
  5. 4th InningRooker reached on infield single to second, Langeliers scored, Soderstrom to third.8–0
  6. 3rd InningWilson homered to left (350 feet), Cortes scored.7–0
  7. 5th InningKurtz singled to right, Gelof scored.10–1
  8. 1st InningLangeliers homered to left center (412 feet), Kurtz scored.2–0
  9. 3rd InningCortes singled to center, Soderstrom scored.5–0

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