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InTheRafters.com

PIT @ ARI

Joshua Silvia
14–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor12:40 PM PT⚾ Mitch Keller vs Zac GallenMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readPittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates 4 · Arizona Diamondbacks 2

Final
Pittsburgh Pirates23-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 70%
Arizona Diamondbacks20-21-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pittsburgh Pirates is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Pittsburgh Pirates on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 83%. Actual: Pittsburgh Pirates by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

Arizona Diamondbacks

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILJoey Bart10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32
Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Pittsburgh Pirates beat Arizona Diamondbacks 4-2.
  • Top line: Brandon Lowe (Pittsburgh Pirates) — 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates) — 6.0 IP, 4 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Zac Gallen (Arizona Diamondbacks) — 6.0 IP, 5 K, 4 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreHorwitz singled to right, Reynolds scored, O'Hearn to second.5th Inning3–2
  2. ScoreO'Hearn singled to right, Lowe scored, Reynolds to third.5th Inning2–2
  3. ScoreDel Castillo singled to right, Perdomo scored.1st Inning1–1
  4. ScoreCarroll homered to right center (406 feet).3rd Inning1–2
  5. ScoreBart homered to left center (380 feet).6th Inning4–2
  6. ScoreLowe homered to right (436 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Pittsburgh Pirates100021000470
Arizona Diamondbacks101000000251

Pittsburgh Pirates

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·0-3300001118.245.309.464
Brandon Lowe 2B·3-5523110015.266.368.573
Bryan Reynolds LF·0-3310001018.254.399.410
Ryan O'Hearn RF·1-4401100216.292.377.446
Spencer Horwitz 1B·1-3301101012.245.363.382
Konnor Griffin SS·0-4400000219.257.320.389
Jared Triolo SS·0-4400000117.194.265.258
Billy Cook RF·0-4400000111.235.235.235
Joey Bart C·2-4412110114.220.259.360

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mitch Keller SP·6.042224184-502.8784
Dennis Santana RP1.000010013-73.7813
Mason Montgomery RP0.210010016-103.2116
Isaac Mattson RP0.10000106-43.716
Gregory Soto RP1.000001014-111.4214

Arizona Diamondbacks

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-2210002019.234.356.387
Ketel Marte 2B·0-4400000112.209.262.353
Corbin Carroll RF·2-4412110017.264.359.512
Adrian Del Castillo DH·1-3301100110.219.247.384
Nolan Arenado 3B0-110000016.272.323.430
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·1-4401000114.360.381.614
Jose Fernandez 1B·0-3300001119.292.333.417
Jorge Barrosa LF·0-3300001117.194.256.389
James McCann C·1-220100005.192.208.250
Gabriel Moreno C0-110000004.246.290.404
Alek Thomas CF·0-220000004.181.222.340
Tim Tawa LF0-110000006.152.245.261

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Zac Gallen SP·6.0644252100-624.70100
Brandyn Garcia RP1.010001012-80.0012
Ryan Thompson RP1.00000209-73.149
Paul Sewald RP1.000010019-113.5519

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningCruz walked.
  2. 8th InningArenado struck out swinging.
  3. 8th InningTawa grounded out to shortstop.
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  5. 8th InningPitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
  6. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningHorwitz singled to right, Reynolds scored, O'Hearn to second.3–2
  2. 5th InningO'Hearn singled to right, Lowe scored, Reynolds to third.2–2
  3. 1st InningDel Castillo singled to right, Perdomo scored.1–1
  4. 3rd InningCarroll homered to right center (406 feet).1–2
  5. 6th InningBart homered to left center (380 feet).4–2
  6. 1st InningLowe homered to right (436 feet).1–0

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