Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Jacob Lopez vs Kyle BradishMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 4 · Baltimore Orioles 3

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Baltimore Orioles19-24-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.0) · expected win rate 40% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Athletics: Athletics’s scoring margin profile and Athletics’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 84%. Actual: Athletics by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayDylan BeaversDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

Athletics

Max Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-ILJacob Wilson10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Athletics beat Baltimore Orioles 4-3.
  • Top line: Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles) — 7.0 IP, 10 K, 3 ER.
  • Support line: Adley Rutschman (Baltimore Orioles) — 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Jacob Lopez (Athletics) — 5.1 IP, 5 K, 2 ER.

Highlights

  1. ScoreBasallo singled to center, Rutschman scored.9th Inning4–3
  2. ScoreRutschman homered to center (401 feet).6th Inning3–2
  3. ScoreWilson singled to right, Soderstrom scored, Rooker to third.8th Inning4–2
  4. 🏃 TripleKurtz tripled to right, Butler scored and Gelof scored.5th Inning3–1
  5. ScoreGelof singled to left, Wilson scored, Butler to second.5th Inning1–1
  6. ScoreAlonso homered to right center (373 feet).4th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics000030010480
Baltimore Orioles000101001340

Athletics

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·2-5502200011.257.413.419
Shea Langeliers C·1-5501000319.333.385.625
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-4410000217.213.303.419
Brent Rooker DH·1-4401000217.181.255.337
Carlos Cortes RF·0-4400000112.356.417.575
Brett Harris 3B0-000000000.000.333.000
Jacob Wilson SS·2-3312101016.299.319.409
Lawrence Butler RF·1-4411000210.182.280.291
Zack Gelof CF·1-3311101115.273.322.509
Jeff McNeil 2B·0-330000019.301.367.398

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Lopez SP·5.132225291-576.1191
Justin Sterner RP0.20000007-44.267
Scott Barlow RP1.000001014-93.5714
Joel Kuhnel RP1.000000010-61.9810
Jack Perkins RP0.211112025-134.1125
Hogan Harris RP0.100011011-52.7511

Baltimore Orioles

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·0-4400000222.270.420.387
Gunnar Henderson SS·0-3300001026.198.260.414
Adley Rutschman C·2-3322111018.325.385.602
Pete Alonso 1B·1-4411110115.226.327.459
Tyler O'Neill RF·0-330000006.189.317.245
Dylan Beavers RF0-110000016.229.318.344
Coby Mayo 3B·0-220000015.163.224.286
Samuel Basallo C1-2201100013.262.331.467
Colton Cowser RF0-000000000.169.268.197
Leody Taveras CF·0-3300001219.267.382.419
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·0-4400000218.244.266.415
Weston Wilson 3B·0-2200001010.263.417.316

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Bradish SP·7.0533110096-604.8396
Trey Gibson SP2.031112030-205.4030

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningHenderson walked.
  2. 9th InningBasallo singled to center, Rutschman scored.4–3
  3. 1st InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningBasallo singled to center, Rutschman scored.4–3
  2. 6th InningRutschman homered to center (401 feet).3–2
  3. 8th InningWilson singled to right, Soderstrom scored, Rooker to third.4–2
  4. 5th InningKurtz tripled to right, Butler scored and Gelof scored.3–1
  5. 5th InningGelof singled to left, Wilson scored, Butler to second.1–1
  6. 4th InningAlonso homered to right center (373 feet).0–1

Trending