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InTheRafters.com

WSH @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
14–21 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM ET⚾ Foster Griffin vs Robby SnellingMLB.TVMarlins.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 3 · Miami Marlins 2

Final
Washington Nationals20-22-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Miami Marlins19-23-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Washington Nationals: Miami Marlins’s scoring margin profile and Washington Nationals’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 57%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Washington Nationals beat Miami Marlins 3-2.
  • Top line: Foster Griffin (Washington Nationals) — 7.0 IP, 9 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Jacob Young (Washington Nationals) — 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins) — 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. 💣 Home RunLopez scored on error, Stowers safe at first on throwing error by first baseman Mead, Stowers safe at second on error.1st Inning3–2
  2. ScoreEdwards homered to left center (400 feet).1st Inning3–1
  3. ScoreYoung homered to left (403 feet), Abrams scored.1st Inning3–0
  4. ScoreAbrams singled to center, Mead scored.1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals300000000362
Miami Marlins200000000250

Washington Nationals

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-5500000225.235.384.497
Curtis Mead 1B·1-2211002026.226.337.452
Brady House 3B·1-4401000112.238.298.392
CJ Abrams SS·1-3311101113.291.394.537
Jacob Young CF·1-3311211014.236.281.346
Daylen Lile LF·1-4401000013.245.321.364
Joey Wiemer RF·0-3300001217.295.386.525
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-3301001010.218.320.245
Keibert Ruiz C·0-330000007.205.224.384
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B0-110000003.231.257.333
Drew Millas C0-000000000.172.238.276

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Foster Griffin SP·7.0421191103-742.12103
Brad Lord RP1.210002031-233.5531
PJ Poulin RP0.100010013-73.3813

Miami Marlins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Xavier Edwards 2B·1-3311111118.329.420.471
Otto Lopez SS·3-4413000017.351.381.523
Kyle Stowers LF·0-4400000318.206.296.254
Christopher Morel LF·0-330000009.167.259.167
Liam Hicks C0-110000003.316.369.579
Connor Norby 1B·0-330000029.230.338.372
Jakob Marsee CF0-110000018.175.292.252
Javier Sanoja 3B·0-4400000014.275.341.325
Joe Mack C·0-3300000115.231.231.308
Heriberto Hernandez LF0-000000106.149.278.179
Leo Jimenez 2B·1-4401000116.182.357.182
Esteury Ruiz CF·0-3300000214.190.190.524

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robby Snelling SP·5.053342186-545.4086
Anthony Bender RP1.000001012-84.3012
John King RP0.200011013-70.5513
Tyler Phillips RP2.110012029-201.1429

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningCurtis Mead challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Curtis Mead walks.
  2. 2nd InningEdwards walked.
  3. 9th InningMarsee struck out swinging.
  4. 5th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningLopez scored on error, Stowers safe at first on throwing error by first baseman Mead, Stowers safe at second on error.3–2
  2. 1st InningEdwards homered to left center (400 feet).3–1
  3. 1st InningYoung homered to left (403 feet), Abrams scored.3–0
  4. 1st InningAbrams singled to center, Mead scored.1–0

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