NYM @ ARI
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Keep followingToday’s scores·MLB player values·Morning Line
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:15 PM PTProbables: Clay Holmes vs Merrill KellyMLB.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets 1 · Arizona Diamondbacks 2
Final
New York Mets16-25-2-0.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.7) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 55%
Arizona Diamondbacks20-21-0.6 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Arizona Diamondbacks gets the nod thanks to New York Mets’s margin advantage, with New York Mets’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 69%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 1.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 69%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 1.
Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks
Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
New York Mets
Jose RojasDay-To-DayJoe JacquesDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-ILJorge Polanco10-Day-ILJustin Hagenman60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Top Performers
Final Notes
- Final frame: Arizona Diamondbacks beat New York Mets 2-1.
- Top line: Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks) — 7.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER.
- Support line: Clay Holmes (New York Mets) — 5.2 IP, 6 K, 2 ER.
- Support line: Ildemaro Vargas (Arizona Diamondbacks) — 1-4, 2 RBI.
Highlights
- ScoreVargas singled to left, Carroll scored and Perdomo scored, Del Castillo to second.1–2
- DoubleBaty doubled to center, Semien scored.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 6 | 0 |
New York Mets
· Starter
Batting#
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan SotoValue card LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .273 | .369 | .477 |
| Bo BichetteValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .226 | .269 | .296 |
| MJ MelendezValue card DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .277 | .358 | .511 |
| Mark VientosValue card 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .231 | .277 | .423 |
| Carson BengeValue card RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .204 | .274 | .327 |
| Marcus SemienValue card 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .230 | .285 | .317 |
| Brett BatyValue card RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .207 | .274 | .306 |
| Francisco AlvarezValue card C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .236 | .315 | .382 |
| Tyrone TaylorValue card CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .206 | .229 | .324 |
Pitching#
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay HolmesValue card SP· | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 103-64 | 1.86 | 103 |
| Austin WarrenValue card RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 1.00 | 17 |
| Craig KimbrelValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19-9 | 6.75 | 19 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
· Starter
Batting#
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel MarteValue card 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .210 | .261 | .357 |
| Corbin CarrollValue card RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .266 | .360 | .508 |
| Geraldo PerdomoValue card SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .227 | .347 | .370 |
| Adrian Del CastilloValue card DH· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .218 | .262 | .385 |
| Ildemaro VargasValue card 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .350 | .370 | .585 |
| Nolan ArenadoValue card 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .273 | .326 | .446 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr.Value card LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .218 | .295 | .255 |
| Jorge BarrosaValue card CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .256 | .373 |
| Gabriel MorenoValue card C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .226 | .290 | .371 |
| Ryan WaldschmidtValue card CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
Pitching#
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill KellyValue card SP· | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 96-58 | 7.62 | 96 |
| Taylor ClarkeValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 2.45 | 12 |
| Paul SewaldValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 3.29 | 17 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningPerdomo walked.
- 9th InningBenge struck out swinging.
- 9th InningMelendez struck out looking.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
- 6th InningArenado singled to right.
- 3rd InningBichette walked.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningVargas singled to left, Carroll scored and Perdomo scored, Del Castillo to second.1–2
- 2nd InningBaty doubled to center, Semien scored.1–0