NYM @ ARI
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
New York Mets 4.3 · Arizona Diamondbacks 4.4
Two reasons the projection lands on New York Mets: Arizona Diamondbacks’s scoring margin profile and New York Mets’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. New York Mets is 45% over their recent sample; Arizona Diamondbacks is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Pitching matchup. TBD (New York Mets) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks).
Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Injury Report
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.
Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks
- L@ MIL13-1
- L@ CHC6-5
- L@ CHC2-0
- L@ CHC8-4
- Wvs PIT9-0
New York Mets
- Lvs WSH5-4
- W@ LAA4-3
- L@ LAA4-3 F/10
- W@ LAA5-1
- W@ COL4-2