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Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameIndoor12:15 PM ETProbables: Cade Cavalli vs Sandy AlcantaraPeacock
Result readMiami Marlins

Washington Nationals 2 · Miami Marlins 5

Final
Washington Nationals20-22-0.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Miami Marlins19-23-0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

The projection leans Miami Marlins because Miami Marlins owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Washington Nationals has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 72%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 3.

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Griffin Conine10-Day-ILRobby Snelling15-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOutAdam Mazur60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Clayton Beeter15-Day-ILCole Henry15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Miami Marlins beat Washington Nationals 5-2.
  • Top line: Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins) — 6.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals) — 5.2 IP, 4 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Heriberto Hernandez (Miami Marlins) — 2-4, 2 RBI.

Highlights

  1. ScoreHernández singled to left, Marsee scored and Morel scored.8th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreMorel singled to center, Ruiz scored.8th Inning2–3
  3. ScoreHouse grounded out to shortstop, García Jr. scored.4th Inning1–2
  4. DoubleGarcía Jr. doubled to left, Vivas scored, Wood to third.5th Inning2–2
  5. ScoreLopez grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Edwards scored on error, Hicks safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Nuñez, Hicks safe at third on error.3rd Inning0–2
  6. ScoreHicks singled to right, Mack scored, Edwards to third.3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals000110000261
Miami Marlins00200003560

Washington Nationals

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James WoodValue card RF·1-4401000015.244.392.526
Luis Garcia Jr.Value card 1B·2-4412100012.256.279.376
Brady HouseValue card 3B·0-440010009.232.289.384
CJ AbramsValue card SS·0-4400000324.287.385.531
Daylen LileValue card LF·2-4402000115.253.324.380
Jacob YoungValue card CF·0-4400000115.222.266.326
Jorbit VivasValue card 3B·1-3311000011.247.330.286
Curtis MeadValue card 1B0-110000003.224.333.447
Drew MillasValue card C·0-2200001014.172.243.266
Nasim NunezValue card 2B·0-1100002015.209.319.235

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade CavalliValue card SP·5.242214095-584.0295
PJ PoulinValue card RP0.10000006-33.326
Orlando RibaltaValue card RP1.000001010-63.0010
Gus VarlandValue card RP0.123321028-164.8028
Paxton SchultzValue card RP0.20000107-62.637

Miami Marlins

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Xavier EdwardsValue card 2B·1-4411000220.322.409.477
Liam HicksValue card C·1-330110007.308.370.558
Otto LopezValue card SS·0-4400100111.344.373.513
Kyle StowersValue card LF·0-2200001021.232.329.333
Esteury RuizValue card CF0-001000000.227.227.591
Jakob MarseeValue card CF·1-2211001118.182.307.277
Christopher MorelValue card DH·1-4411100216.179.258.179
Heriberto HernandezValue card LF·2-4402200020.169.289.197
Joe MackValue card C·0-3310001119.250.286.400
Javier SanojaValue card 3B·0-4400000014.262.326.310

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Sandy AlcantaraValue card SP·6.052223089-583.9089
Calvin FaucherValue card RP2.000010025-123.3825
Andrew NardiValue card RP0.210002016-125.7416
Josh EknessValue card RP0.10000003-32.703

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningHernández singled to left, Marsee scored and Morel scored.2–5
  2. 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 3rd InningWood flied out to left.
  4. 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 3rd InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  6. 9th InningAbrams struck out looking.
  7. 8th InningMorel stole second, Marsee stole third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningHernández singled to left, Marsee scored and Morel scored.2–5
  2. 8th InningMorel singled to center, Ruiz scored.2–3
  3. 4th InningHouse grounded out to shortstop, García Jr. scored.1–2
  4. 5th InningGarcía Jr. doubled to left, Vivas scored, Wood to third.2–2
  5. 3rd InningLopez grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Edwards scored on error, Hicks safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Nuñez, Hicks safe at third on error.0–2
  6. 3rd InningHicks singled to right, Mack scored, Edwards to third.0–1

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