MIA @ TB
Tropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Sandy Alcantara6.0 IP, 6 K
- Nick Martinez6.0 IP, 4 K
- Javier Sanoja2-5, 4 RBI, 1 R
Key Plays
- Tied it2-2Fortes singled to left, Mullins scored.9th Inning
- Go-ahead run4-2Hicks singled to right, Mack scored and Ruiz scored, Edwards to third.10th Inning
- Tied it1-1Hernández homered to left center (439 feet).7th Inning
- Go-ahead run2-1Sanoja doubled to center, Marsee scored.9th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Starter innings, six-plus innings, six-plus strikeouts.
Home run, RBI.
Starter innings, six-plus innings, run prevention.
RBI, three-plus RBI.
Three-hit game, multi-run game.
RBI.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Miami Marlins beat Tampa Bay Rays 10-5.
- Top line: Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins) — 6.0 IP, 6 K.
- Support line: Nick Martinez (Tampa Bay Rays) — 6.0 IP, 4 K.
- Support line: Javier Sanoja (Miami Marlins) — 2-5, 4 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreSimpson singled to left, Walls scored.0–1
- DoubleCaminero doubled to center, Simpson scored and Walls scored.10–4
- ScoreFortes singled to left, Mullins scored.2–2
- ScoreLopez hit sacrifice fly to right, Edwards scored, Hicks to second.5–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 4 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
Miami Marlins player box 16 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Miami Marlins
· Starter
Batting#
- Xavier Edwards 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Liam Hicks 2H1R2RBI0HR
- Otto Lopez 2H0R1RBI0HR
- Kyle Stowers 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Connor Norby 1H1R1RBI0HR
- Jakob Marsee 3H2R0RBI0HR
- Javier Sanoja 2H1R4RBI0HR
- Owen Caissie 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Heriberto Hernandez 1H1R1RBI1HR
- Esteury Ruiz 1H1R1RBI0HR
- Joe Mack 1H1R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier EdwardsValue card 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .315 | .404 | .470 |
| Liam HicksValue card C· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .291 | .350 | .504 |
| Otto LopezValue card SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .341 | .368 | .497 |
| Kyle StowersValue card LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .205 | .300 | .284 |
| Connor NorbyValue card 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .233 | .331 | .383 |
| Jakob MarseeValue card CF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .204 | .320 | .317 |
| Javier SanojaValue card 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .261 | .320 | .326 |
| Owen CaissieValue card RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .204 | .268 | .343 |
| Heriberto HernandezValue card LF | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .171 | .284 | .237 |
| Esteury RuizValue card RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .222 | .222 | .519 |
| Joe MackValue card C· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .200 | .222 | .286 |
Pitching#
- Sandy Alcantara 7H1R0HR0BB
- Andrew Nardi 0H0R0HR0BB
- Anthony Bender 0H0R0HR0BB
- Pete Fairbanks 1H1R0HR1BB
- Lake Bachar 2H3R0HR2BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy AlcantaraValue card SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 101-69 | 3.53 | 101 |
| Andrew NardiValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-6 | 5.09 | 11 |
| Anthony BenderValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-9 | 3.57 | 9 |
| Pete FairbanksValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24-12 | 9.00 | 24 |
| Lake BacharValue card RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27-16 | 2.74 | 27 |
Tampa Bay Rays player box 15 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Tampa Bay Rays
· Starter
Batting#
- Chandler Simpson 1H1R1RBI0HR
- Junior Caminero 2H1R2RBI0HR
- Jonathan Aranda 1H0R1RBI0HR
- Yandy Diaz 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Richie Palacios 2H0R0RBI0HR
- Cedric Mullins 1H1R0RBI0HR
- Jonny DeLuca 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Hunter Feduccia 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Nick Fortes 1H0R1RBI0HR
- Taylor Walls 1H2R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler SimpsonValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .304 | .335 | .357 |
| Junior CamineroValue card 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .253 | .333 | .471 |
| Jonathan ArandaValue card 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .277 | .384 | .471 |
| Yandy DiazValue card DH· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .294 | .373 | .442 |
| Richie PalaciosValue card 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .257 | .369 | .329 |
| Cedric MullinsValue card CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | .179 | .240 | .276 |
| Jonny DeLucaValue card RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | .263 | .298 | .414 |
| Hunter FeducciaValue card C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .250 | .351 | .292 |
| Nick FortesValue card C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .283 | .315 | .358 |
| Taylor WallsValue card SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .212 | .310 | .273 |
Pitching#
- Nick Martinez 5H0R0HR1BB
- Garrett Cleavinger 1H1R1HR0BB
- Kevin Kelly 1H0R0HR0BB
- Bryan Baker 2H1R0HR0BB
- Hunter Bigge 6H8R0HR2BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick MartinezValue card SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 77-53 | 1.51 | 77 |
| Garrett CleavingerValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16-11 | 4.50 | 16 |
| Kevin KellyValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 2.61 | 12 |
| Bryan BakerValue card RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18-14 | 2.95 | 18 |
| Hunter BiggeValue card RP | 1.0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29-16 | 5.94 | 29 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Late home run · 9th InningDeLuca struck out looking, Mullins stole second, Mullins safe at third on throwing error by catcher Mack.2–1
- Tied it · 9th InningFortes singled to left, Mullins scored.2–2
- Late double · 10th InningCaminero doubled to center, Simpson scored and Walls scored.10–4
- Late run · 10th InningLopez hit sacrifice fly to right, Edwards scored, Hicks to second.5–2
- Go-ahead run · 10th InningHicks singled to right, Mack scored and Ruiz scored, Edwards to third.4–2
- Tied it · 7th InningHernández homered to left center (439 feet).1–1
- Late double · 10th InningSanoja doubled to left, Marsee scored, Stowers scored and Norby scored.9–2
- Go-ahead run · 9th InningSanoja doubled to center, Marsee scored.2–1
- Late home run · 10th InningMarlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Esteury Ruiz singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Javier Sanoja scores. Esteury Ruiz out at 2nd on the throw, left fie10–2
- Late double · 10th InningAranda doubled to center, Caminero scored.10–5
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:10 PM ETProbables: Sandy Alcantara vs Nick MartinezMLB.TVRays.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins 10 · Tampa Bay Rays 5
Final
Miami Marlins22-27-0.1 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Tampa Bay Rays32-15-1+0.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.8) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 75%
Home VenueTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of Tampa Bay Rays’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 70%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 5.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 70%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 5.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Tampa Bay Rays
63%
Tampa Bay Rays win probability 63%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Tampa Bay Rays: Team baseline+14.3
- Tampa Bay Rays: Home venue+1.0
- Tampa Bay Rays: Bullpen rest+0.6
- Tampa Bay Rays: Starter context+0.2
Model check
Live model: Tampa Bay Rays
63%
v3 candidate: Tampa Bay Rays
64%
Same pick; home probability +1.6 pp, confidence +1.6 pp
- Tampa Bay Rays: v2 shadow probability +0.21
- Miami Marlins: scoring-margin gap -0.20
- Tampa Bay Rays: expected-win gap +0.13
Copies the current sliders and toggles into this matchup link.
Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy DiazDay-To-DaySteven Matz15-Day-ILBen WilliamsonDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-DayLogan DriscollDay-To-Day
Miami Marlins
Griffin Conine10-Day-ILRobby Snelling15-Day-ILKemp AldermanDay-To-DayRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.