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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Lead change4-3Steer doubled to left, McLain scored.8th Inning
  • Tied it3-3Stewart homered to right (361 feet).7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-2García hit sacrifice fly to right, Harper scored.1st Inning
  • Lead change4-5Stott homered to right (360 feet), Sosa scored.8th Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Sal Stewart 80
Cincinnati Reds · Batting 2-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R

Home run, RBI, multi-run game.

Signal 80/100Value #1576
Bryson Stott 80
Philadelphia Phillies · Batting 1-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI.

Signal 80/100Value #3932
Alec Bohm 70
Philadelphia Phillies · Batting 2-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #3920
Andrew Painter 36
Philadelphia Phillies · Pitching 6.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 2 BB

Starter innings, six-plus innings.

Signal 36/100Value #2674
Spencer Steer 18
Cincinnati Reds · Batting 1-3 · 1 RBI · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #1938
Edmundo Sosa 18
Philadelphia Phillies · Batting 0-1 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #2684
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Philadelphia Phillies beat Cincinnati Reds 5-4.
  • Top line: Andrew Painter (Philadelphia Phillies) — 6.0 IP, 3 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Sal Stewart (Cincinnati Reds) — 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies) — 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreSosa hit sacrifice fly to center, Turner scored, Harper to third.1st Inning0–1
  2. DoubleSteer doubled to left, McLain scored.8th Inning4–3
  3. ScoreStewart homered to right (361 feet).7th Inning3–3
  4. ScoreFriedl hit sacrifice fly to center, Lowe scored.2nd Inning2–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds020000110461
Philadelphia Phillies20000102550
Cincinnati Reds player box 14 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Cincinnati Reds

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Matt McLainValue card 2B·1-4411000216.220.325.363
Elly De La CruzValue card SS·0-3300001115.297.362.531
Spencer SteerValue card LF·1-3301101017.270.341.454
JJ BledayValue card LF·0-3300001014.290.410.652
Dane MyersValue card CF0-000000000.246.364.400
Sal StewartValue card 1B·2-4422110012.249.340.475
Nathaniel LoweValue card DH·1-4411000119.253.327.495
Tyler StephensonValue card C·1-440110018.176.270.286
TJ FriedlValue card CF·0-3300100114.178.258.260
Ke'Bryan HayesValue card 3B·0-330000008.147.202.233

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nick LodoloValue card SP·5.233353197-537.2097
Tejay AntoneValue card RP0.10001007-26.147
Graham AshcraftValue card RP1.222200121-153.8621
Brock BurkeValue card RP0.10000006-32.866
Philadelphia Phillies player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Philadelphia Phillies

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea TurnerValue card SS·1-441100019.236.286.344
Bryce HarperValue card 1B·0-3310001122.277.373.549
Alec BohmValue card 3B·2-3312111011.217.275.329
Garrett StubbsValue card C0-000000000.235.333.235
Jhoan DuranValue card RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Edmundo SosaValue card 2B·0-1110101022.233.269.315
Adolis GarciaValue card RF·0-3300100013.214.289.333
Bryson StottValue card 2B·1-3311211011.226.274.404
J.T. RealmutoValue card C·0-2200002018.220.295.290
Justin CrawfordValue card CF·1-4401000016.263.336.387
Otto KempValue card LF·0-220000018.091.167.091
Brandon MarshValue card LF0-110000001.327.353.472

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andrew PainterValue card SP·6.032223069-445.7769
Brad KellerValue card RP1.011101113-94.1213
Jose AlvaradoValue card RP0.221110020-105.4020
Orion KerkeringValue card RP0.10000003-12.163
Jhoan DuranValue card RP1.000002018-131.4218

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Run-scoring play · 1st InningSosa hit sacrifice fly to center, Turner scored, Harper to third.0–1
  2. Lead change · 8th InningSteer doubled to left, McLain scored.4–3
  3. Tied it · 7th InningStewart homered to right (361 feet).3–3
  4. Go-ahead run · 1st InningGarcía hit sacrifice fly to right, Harper scored.0–2
  5. Tied it · 2nd InningFriedl hit sacrifice fly to center, Lowe scored.2–2
  6. Lead change · 8th InningStott homered to right (360 feet), Sosa scored.4–5
  7. Go-ahead run · 6th InningBohm homered to center (409 feet).2–3
  8. Double · 2nd InningCrawford lined into double play, pitcher to first, Realmuto doubled off first.2–2
  9. Run-scoring play · 2nd InningStephenson singled to right, Stewart scored, Lowe to third.1–2
  10. Double · 1st InningTurner doubled to left.0–0

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET80°F · 8 mph wind · clearProbables: Nick Lodolo vs Andrew PainterMLB.TVGray MediaWXIX FOX19Reds.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds 4 · Philadelphia Phillies 5

Final
Cincinnati Reds26-24-0.6 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.8) · expected win rate 45% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies25-25-1-0.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.5) · expected win rate 45% · last 10: 70%
Home VenueCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

The projection leans Philadelphia Phillies because Philadelphia Phillies owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 62%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Philadelphia Phillies
58% Philadelphia Phillies win probability 58%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Philadelphia Phillies: Team baseline+4.1
    • Philadelphia Phillies: Home venue+1.0
    • Philadelphia Phillies: Starter context+0.4
    Model check
    Live model: Philadelphia Phillies 58%
    v3 candidate: Philadelphia Phillies 54%
    Same pick; home probability -3.5 pp, confidence -3.5 pp
    • Cincinnati Reds: home pythag -0.08
    • Philadelphia Phillies: away pythag +0.08
    • Philadelphia Phillies: away rest hours capped +0.07
    Preview v3 controls
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    Key Players to Watch

    Injury Report

    Philadelphia Phillies

    Kyle SchwarberDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayMax Lazar60-Day-ILRene PintoDay-To-Day

    Cincinnati Reds

    Caleb Ferguson15-Day-ILJosh StaumontDay-To-DayEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-DayRhett Lowder15-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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