ATL @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
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Fast path
Final
Final GameCast
Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch
Top Performers
- Martin Perez5.0 IP, 10 K, 4 ER
- Michael Harris II2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R
- Matt Olson2-3, 3 RBI, 2 BB
Key Plays
- Go-ahead run5-4Dubón reached on infield single to first, Yastrzemski scored, Acuña Jr. to second, Kim to third.8th Inning
- Late run7-4Olson singled to left, Acuña Jr. scored and Kim scored, Dubón to third.8th Inning
- Lead change2-3Stowers doubled to right, Ruiz scored and Lopez scored.1st Inning
- Late home run4-4Dylan Lee pitches to Christopher Morel7th Inning
Box Score
Top Performers
Fantasy Signals
Home run, RBI.
Home run, RBI.
Starter innings, six-plus strikeouts, eight-plus strikeouts.
RBI, three-plus RBI, walk volume.
RBI, three-hit game.
Three-hit game, multi-run game.
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
- Final frame: Atlanta Braves beat Miami Marlins 8-4.
- Top line: Martin Perez (Atlanta Braves) — 5.0 IP, 10 K, 4 ER.
- Support line: Michael Harris II (Atlanta Braves) — 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
- Support line: Matt Olson (Atlanta Braves) — 2-3, 3 RBI, 2 BB.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
- ScoreHarris II singled to right, Dubón scored, Olson to third.2–0
- ScoreDubón reached on infield single to first, Yastrzemski scored, Acuña Jr. to second, Kim to third.5–4
- ScoreOlson singled to left, Acuña Jr. scored and Kim scored, Dubón to third.7–4
- DoubleOlson doubled to right, Acuña Jr. scored.3–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
| Miami Marlins | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
Atlanta Braves player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Atlanta Braves
· Starter
Batting#
- Ronald Acuna Jr. 1H3R0RBI0HR
- Mauricio Dubon 3H1R1RBI0HR
- Matt Olson 2H0R3RBI0HR
- Ozzie Albies 0H0R1RBI0HR
- Austin Riley 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Michael Harris II 2H1R2RBI1HR
- Jose Azocar 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Mike Yastrzemski 0H1R0RBI0HR
- Sandy Leon 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Dominic Smith 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Chadwick Tromp 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Ha-Seong Kim 1H1R1RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr.Value card RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | .252 | .367 | .382 |
| Mauricio DubonValue card SS· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | .256 | .312 | .395 |
| Matt OlsonValue card 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .283 | .364 | .594 |
| Ozzie AlbiesValue card 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | .271 | .329 | .441 |
| Austin RileyValue card 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | .211 | .279 | .368 |
| Michael Harris IIValue card CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .291 | .319 | .494 |
| Jose AzocarValue card RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .333 | .375 | .467 |
| Mike YastrzemskiValue card LF | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | .223 | .299 | .331 |
| Sandy LeonValue card C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .182 | .182 | .182 |
| Dominic SmithValue card DH | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .330 | .356 | .489 |
| Chadwick TrompValue card C | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Ha-Seong KimValue card SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .087 | .192 | .087 |
Pitching#
- Martin Perez 5H4R1HR2BB
- Didier Fuentes 0H0R0HR1BB
- Dylan Lee 2H0R0HR0BB
- Robert Suarez 0H0R0HR1BB
- Raisel Iglesias 1H0R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin PerezValue card SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 78-55 | 2.85 | 78 |
| Didier FuentesValue card RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-9 | 2.95 | 17 |
| Dylan LeeValue card RP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25-15 | 0.79 | 25 |
| Robert SuarezValue card RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17-10 | 0.44 | 17 |
| Raisel IglesiasValue card RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 0.00 | 13 |
Miami Marlins player box 17 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table
Miami Marlins
· Starter
Batting#
- Xavier Edwards 1H1R1RBI1HR
- Otto Lopez 3H2R0RBI0HR
- Heriberto Hernandez 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Liam Hicks 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Christopher Morel 1H0R0RBI0HR
- Jakob Marsee 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Esteury Ruiz 0H1R1RBI0HR
- Kyle Stowers 1H0R2RBI0HR
- Connor Norby 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Leo Jimenez 0H0R0RBI0HR
- Joe Mack 0H0R0RBI0HR
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier EdwardsValue card 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .319 | .401 | .495 |
| Otto LopezValue card SS· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .346 | .377 | .497 |
| Heriberto HernandezValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .173 | .280 | .235 |
| Liam HicksValue card C | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .293 | .357 | .500 |
| Christopher MorelValue card 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .152 | .204 | .196 |
| Jakob MarseeValue card CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .214 | .338 | .329 |
| Esteury RuizValue card RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .200 | .219 | .467 |
| Kyle StowersValue card LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .216 | .321 | .299 |
| Connor NorbyValue card 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .231 | .335 | .378 |
| Leo JimenezValue card 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .214 | .320 | .238 |
| Joe MackValue card C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .205 | .239 | .273 |
Pitching#
- Braxton Garrett 3H2R0HR3BB
- Anthony Bender 1H1R0HR0BB
- Andrew Nardi 2H1R1HR0BB
- Michael Petersen 0H0R0HR2BB
- Calvin Faucher 2H3R0HR3BB
- Lake Bachar 2H1R0HR0BB
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton GarrettValue card SP· | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 65-35 | 14.54 | 65 |
| Anthony BenderValue card RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22-15 | 3.79 | 22 |
| Andrew NardiValue card RP | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20-15 | 5.21 | 20 |
| Michael PetersenValue card RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26-15 | 4.08 | 26 |
| Calvin FaucherValue card RP | 0.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 33-19 | 4.19 | 33 |
| Lake BacharValue card RP | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24-13 | 2.84 | 24 |
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Key Plays
Scoring and Swing Plays
Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.
- Double · 3rd InningDubón doubled to left.2–3
- Go-ahead run · 8th InningDubón reached on infield single to first, Yastrzemski scored, Acuña Jr. to second, Kim to third.5–4
- Late run · 8th InningOlson singled to left, Acuña Jr. scored and Kim scored, Dubón to third.7–4
- Double · 3rd InningMorel doubled to left, Lopez to third.2–3
- Double · 5th InningOlson doubled to right, Acuña Jr. scored.3–4
- Lead change · 1st InningStowers doubled to right, Ruiz scored and Lopez scored.2–3
- Late score · 9th InningKim singled to center, Riley scored, Tromp to third.8–4
- Go-ahead run · 1st InningAlbies hit sacrifice fly to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Dubón to third.1–0
- Tied it · 6th InningHarris II homered to center (421 feet).4–4
- Late home run · 7th InningDylan Lee pitches to Christopher Morel4–4
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:10 PM ETProbables: Martin Perez vs Braxton GarrettESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVBravesVisionMarlins.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 8 · Miami Marlins 4
Final
Atlanta Braves36-16+2.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.8) · expected win rate 70% · last 10: 70%
Miami Marlins23-29-0.3 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points
Atlanta Braves is the lean because of Atlanta Braves on the margin numbers and Atlanta Braves on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 71%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 4.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 71%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 4.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Interactive Rafty tool
rafty-v2.0
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Current lean
Atlanta Braves
71%
Miami Marlins win probability 29%
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Atlanta Braves: Team baseline-28.3
- Atlanta Braves: Starter context-1.4
- Miami Marlins: Home venue+1.0
Model check
Live model: Atlanta Braves
71%
v3 candidate: Atlanta Braves
59%
Same pick; home probability +11.6 pp, confidence -11.6 pp
- Miami Marlins: scoring-margin gap +0.52
- Atlanta Braves: expected-win gap -0.34
- Atlanta Braves: away pythag -0.27
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Scenario presets
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Matt Olson 1B · #28
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Thomas WhiteDay-To-DayLeo Jimenez7-day ilGriffin Conine10-Day-ILKemp AldermanDay-To-DayRonny Henriquez60-Day-IL
Atlanta Braves
Kyle Farmer10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayDrake Baldwin10-Day-ILHurston Waldrep60-Day-ILDanny Young60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.