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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Late run4-1De La Cruz walked, Stephenson scored, McLain to second, Hayes to third.7th Inning
  • Late home run2-1Dunn reached on infield single to first, Dunn to second, Bleday safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Harper.7th Inning
  • Late run3-1Reds challenged (force play), call on the field was overturned: Matt McLain reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Bryce Harper. Blake Dunn scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Ke'Bryan H7th Inning
  • Go-ahead run0-1Turner homered to left (409 feet).3rd Inning

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Chase Burns 92
Cincinnati Reds · Pitching 6.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER · 1 HR

Starter innings, six-plus innings, six-plus strikeouts.

Signal 92/100Value #1791
Trea Turner 70
Philadelphia Phillies · Batting 1-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R

Home run, RBI.

Signal 70/100Value #1462
Jesus Luzardo 36
Philadelphia Phillies · Pitching 6.0 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 2 BB

Starter innings, six-plus innings.

Signal 36/100Value #1323
Elly De La Cruz 18
Cincinnati Reds · Batting 1-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #1320
JJ Bleday 18
Cincinnati Reds · Batting 1-3 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #3793
Dane Myers 18
Cincinnati Reds · Batting 0-3 · 1 RBI

RBI.

Signal 18/100Value #3395
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Cincinnati Reds beat Philadelphia Phillies 4-1.
  • Top line: Chase Burns (Cincinnati Reds) — 6.0 IP, 9 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Jesus Luzardo (Philadelphia Phillies) — 6.0 IP, 5 K, 2 ER.
  • Support line: Trea Turner (Philadelphia Phillies) — 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. ScoreDe La Cruz walked, Stephenson scored, McLain to second, Hayes to third.7th Inning4–1
  2. ScoreMyers hit sacrifice fly to right, De La Cruz scored, Stewart to second, Steer to third.4th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreReds challenged (force play), call on the field was overturned: Matt McLain reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Bryce Harper. Blake Dunn scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Ke'Bryan H7th Inning3–1
  4. ScoreBleday hit sacrifice fly to center, Steer scored, Stewart to third.4th Inning2–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds000200200470
Philadelphia Phillies001000000131
Cincinnati Reds player box 13 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Cincinnati Reds

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Matt McLainValue card 2B·0-5500100218.214.317.353
Elly De La CruzValue card SS·1-3311101220.297.364.538
Spencer SteerValue card LF·1-4411000012.269.339.449
Sal StewartValue card 1B·1-3301001022.250.343.473
Dane MyersValue card CF·0-3300100217.235.346.382
JJ BledayValue card LF·1-3301100114.292.402.653
Blake DunnValue card RF·2-4412000111.348.423.522
Tyler StephensonValue card C·1-1111003022.183.291.292
Ke'Bryan HayesValue card 3B·0-4400000011.142.195.225

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chase BurnsValue card SP·6.031109186-541.8386
Pierce JohnsonValue card RP1.000012023-133.7223
Sam MollValue card RP1.000001015-93.1515
Tony SantillanValue card RP1.000002010-75.2110
Philadelphia Phillies player box 14 player rows – 2 stat groups – Batting / Pitching Show full tableHide table

Philadelphia Phillies

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea TurnerValue card SS·1-4411110114.236.285.357
Bryce HarperValue card 1B·0-4400000215.271.366.537
Alec BohmValue card 3B·1-3301001122.220.280.335
Brandon MarshValue card LF·0-3300000313.321.347.463
Adolis GarciaValue card RF·0-3300000217.211.285.327
Bryson StottValue card 2B·1-3301000212.228.275.403
Edmundo SosaValue card 2B·0-3300000210.224.259.303
Justin CrawfordValue card CF·0-2200000111.259.331.381
Otto KempValue card LF0-110000006.087.160.087
Rafael MarchanValue card C·0-3300000014.086.131.138

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jesus LuzardoValue card SP·6.052225095-584.8595
Tanner BanksValue card RP0.122210012-76.7512
Jonathan BowlanValue card RP0.200010014-74.7014
Chase ShugartValue card RP2.000013026-141.5326

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Late run · 7th InningDe La Cruz walked, Stephenson scored, McLain to second, Hayes to third.4–1
  2. Tied it · 4th InningMyers hit sacrifice fly to right, De La Cruz scored, Stewart to second, Steer to third.1–1
  3. Double · 7th InningBleday doubled to right.2–1
  4. Late home run · 7th InningDunn reached on infield single to first, Dunn to second, Bleday safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Harper.2–1
  5. Late run · 7th InningReds challenged (force play), call on the field was overturned: Matt McLain reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Bryce Harper. Blake Dunn scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Ke'Bryan H3–1
  6. Go-ahead run · 3rd InningTurner homered to left (409 feet).0–1
  7. Go-ahead run · 4th InningBleday hit sacrifice fly to center, Steer scored, Stewart to third.2–1
  8. Double · 1st InningBohm doubled to left.0–0
  9. Triple · 4th InningDe La Cruz tripled to left.0–1

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ETProbables: Chase Burns vs Jesus LuzardoMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 4 · Philadelphia Phillies 1

Final
Cincinnati Reds26-24-1-0.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.7) · expected win rate 45% · last 10: 45%
Philadelphia Phillies25-26-1-0.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.5) · expected win rate 45% · last 10: 60%
Home VenueCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Cincinnati Reds gets the nod thanks to Philadelphia Phillies’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 62%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 3.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Philadelphia Phillies
52% Philadelphia Phillies win probability 52%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Philadelphia Phillies: Team baseline+2.9
    • Cincinnati Reds: Starter context-1.9
    • Philadelphia Phillies: Home venue+1.0
    Model check
    Live model: Philadelphia Phillies 52%
    v3 candidate: Philadelphia Phillies 54%
    Same pick; home probability +2.0 pp, confidence +2.0 pp
    • Cincinnati Reds: home pythag -0.08
    • Philadelphia Phillies: away pythag +0.08
    • Philadelphia Phillies: away rest hours capped +0.07
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    Key Players to Watch

    Injury Report

    Philadelphia Phillies

    Zach Pop15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayMax Lazar60-Day-ILRene PintoDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-IL

    Cincinnati Reds

    Caleb Ferguson15-Day-ILJosh StaumontDay-To-DayConnor BurnsDay-To-DayRhett Lowder15-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes10-Day-IL
    On The Diamond

    A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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