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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM MT
Model pickMiami Marlins

Miami Marlins 5.1 · Colorado Rockies 3.6

68%confidence
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Venue EdgeCoors FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Miami Marlins: Miami Marlins’s scoring margin profile and Miami Marlins’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Three things to watch

  • Form gap. Miami Marlins is 40% over their recent sample; Colorado Rockies is 25%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
  • Net efficiency. Miami Marlins projects 49% from points-for vs points-allowed; Colorado Rockies sits at 42%.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

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