TB @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Tampa Bay Rays 4.8 · Kansas City Royals 3.6
Tampa Bay Rays gets the model’s nod thanks to Tampa Bay Rays’s margin advantage, with Tampa Bay Rays’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Tampa Bay Rays is 85% over their recent sample; Kansas City Royals is 70%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Tampa Bay Rays projects 56% from points-for vs points-allowed; Kansas City Royals sits at 46%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.