ATL @ PIT
PNC Park · Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Atlanta Braves 5.2 · Pittsburgh Pirates 3.9
Atlanta Braves gets the model’s nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Net efficiency. Atlanta Braves projects 71% from points-for vs points-allowed; Pittsburgh Pirates sits at 57%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.