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InTheRafters.com

DEN @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:30 PM CT
Result readMinnesota Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets 98 · Minnesota Timberwolves 110

Final
Denver Nuggets56-32-1+4.4 net/g (SOS-adj +4.3) · expected win rate 63% · last 10: 60%
Minnesota Timberwolves54-36-1+2.9 net/g (SOS-adj +3.0) · expected win rate 59% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeTarget CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

Minnesota Timberwolves gets the model’s nod thanks to Denver Nuggets’s margin advantage, with Minnesota Timberwolves’s recent run providing the second tip. Whichever team wins the second-quarter bench stretch usually wins the game outright.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Denver Nuggets at 68%. Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves by 12.

Players to Watch

Denver Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Game Leaders

Denver NuggetsNikola Jokic28 pts
Minnesota TimberwolvesJaden McDaniels32 pts

Injury Report

Minnesota Timberwolves

Ayo DosunmuDay-To-DayDonte DiVincenzoOut

Denver Nuggets

Aaron GordonOutPeyton WatsonOut

On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Denver Nuggets
JM Jamal Murray PG · #27 CB C. Braun SG · #0 CJ C. Johnson SF · #23 SJ Spencer Jones PF · #21 NJ Nikola Jokic C · #15
Minnesota Timberwolves
DD D. DiVincenzo PG · #0 AE A. Edwards SG · #5 JR Julius Randle SF · #30 JM J. McDaniels PF · #3 RG Rudy Gobert C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreJaden McDaniels makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 25.798–110
  2. ScoreJaden McDaniels makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 25.798–109
  3. ScoreRudy Gobert makes free throw 2 of 24th Quarter · 55.698–108
  4. ScoreRudy Gobert makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 55.698–107
  5. ScoreJulius Randle makes free throw 1 of 24th Quarter · 57.898–106
  6. ScoreJaden McDaniels makes 19-foot pullup jump shot4th Quarter · 1:0798–105

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Denver Nuggets3020242498
Minnesota Timberwolves29282528110

Team Stats

Denver Nuggets Stat Minnesota Timberwolves
34-75FG43-94
10-273PT7-29
20-25FT17-24
33REB50
24AST26
4STL8
8BLK3
13TO7

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Cameron Johnson F·39278-155-106-983201085-3
Spencer Jones F·3583-42-30-021101025-9
Nikola Jokic C·432811-191-55-6910401185-9
Jamal Murray G·40124-170-24-464001152-18
Christian Braun G·2831-41-40-010103012-9
Zeke Nnaji F300-00-00-000000000-5
Jonas Valanciunas C421-30-00-020100111-2
Tim Hardaway Jr. G21134-71-24-442111221-5
Tyus Jones G1242-40-00-003010002+5
Bruce Brown G1410-20-11-211320103-5

Minnesota Timberwolves

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Julius Randle F·37186-172-54-645410222+15
Jaden McDaniels F·453213-251-45-6103021464+16
Rudy Gobert C·42104-60-02-4138012765+11
Mike Conley G·2673-71-40-063110153-1
Terrence Shannon Jr. G·35249-201-75-561020242+7
Naz Reid C34157-131-30-174210162+11
Jaylen Clark G1231-31-30-021000112-3
Bones Hyland G910-30-31-221000111+4

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 22.2Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  4. 4th Quarter · 24.4Cameron Johnson misses 26-foot three point jumper
  5. 4th Quarter · 25.7Nuggets Full timeout
  6. 4th Quarter · 25.7Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 2 of 298–110
  7. 4th Quarter · 25.7Nikola Jokic enters the game for Bruce Brown
  8. 4th Quarter · 25.7Jamal Murray enters the game for Christian Braun
  9. 4th Quarter · 25.7Rudy Gobert enters the game for Mike Conley
  10. 4th Quarter · 25.7Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 1 of 298–109
  11. 4th Quarter · 25.7Bruce Brown personal take foul
  12. 4th Quarter · 37.6Timberwolves Full timeout

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 25.7Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 2 of 298–110
  2. 4th Quarter · 25.7Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 1 of 298–109
  3. 4th Quarter · 55.6Rudy Gobert makes free throw 2 of 298–108
  4. 4th Quarter · 55.6Rudy Gobert makes free throw 1 of 298–107
  5. 4th Quarter · 57.8Julius Randle makes free throw 1 of 298–106
  6. 4th Quarter · 1:07Jaden McDaniels makes 19-foot pullup jump shot98–105
  7. 4th Quarter · 1:27Cameron Johnson makes free throw 2 of 298–103
  8. 4th Quarter · 1:43Terrence Shannon Jr. makes free throw 1 of 197–103
  9. 4th Quarter · 1:43Terrence Shannon Jr. makes driving layup97–102
  10. 4th Quarter · 2:03Jamal Murray makes free throw 2 of 297–100
  11. 4th Quarter · 2:03Jamal Murray makes free throw 1 of 296–100
  12. 4th Quarter · 3:20Julius Randle makes 6-foot two point shot95–100
  13. 4th Quarter · 4:50Jamal Murray makes free throw 2 of 295–98
  14. 4th Quarter · 4:50Jamal Murray makes free throw 1 of 294–98
  15. 4th Quarter · 5:05Cameron Johnson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Nikola Jokic assists)93–98
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:26Jaden McDaniels makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)90–98
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:42Cameron Johnson makes free throw 2 of 290–96
  18. 4th Quarter · 5:42Cameron Johnson makes free throw 1 of 289–96
  19. 4th Quarter · 5:53Terrence Shannon Jr. makes 22-foot three point jumper (Rudy Gobert assists)88–96
  20. 4th Quarter · 6:38Rudy Gobert makes tip shot88–93
  21. 4th Quarter · 7:28Nikola Jokic makes free throw 2 of 288–91
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:46Naz Reid makes 22-foot three point jumper (Rudy Gobert assists)87–91
  23. 4th Quarter · 8:05Nikola Jokic makes 7-foot two point shot87–88
  24. 4th Quarter · 8:25Jaden McDaniels makes 10-foot pullup jump shot85–88
  25. 4th Quarter · 8:45Nikola Jokic makes 2-foot layup (Cameron Johnson assists)85–86

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