LAL @ OKC
Paycom Center · Oklahoma City, OK
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:30 PM CTPeacock
Result readOklahoma City Thunder
Los Angeles Lakers 90 · Oklahoma City Thunder 108
Final
Los Angeles Lakers57-33+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.7) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 60%
Oklahoma City Thunder70-18+11.6 net/g (SOS-adj +11.3) · expected win rate 81% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgePaycom CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
Oklahoma City Thunder is the model’s call — Oklahoma City Thunder on the margin numbers, Oklahoma City Thunder on the form numbers. Pace, bench minutes, and shooting variance are the main swing factors.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Oklahoma City Thunder at 88%. Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder by 18.
Pre-game pick: Oklahoma City Thunder at 88%. Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder by 18.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Lakers
- Deandre Ayton C · #5
- Luka Doncic G · #77
- LeBron James F · #23
- Marcus Smart G · #36
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Chet Holmgren C · #7
- Luguentz Dort G · #5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G · #2
- Isaiah Hartenstein C · #55
Game Leaders
Los Angeles LakersLeBron James27 pts
Oklahoma City ThunderChet Holmgren24 pts
Injury Report
Oklahoma City Thunder
Jalen WilliamsOutThomas SorberOut
Los Angeles Lakers
Luka DoncicOut
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🎯 3-PointerJake LaRavia makes 22-foot three point jumper (Bronny James assists)90–108
- 🎯 3-PointerIsaiah Joe makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jared McCain assists)87–108
- ScoreIsaiah Hartenstein makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)87–105
- ScoreIsaiah Hartenstein makes 13-foot two point shot (Luguentz Dort assists)87–103
- 🎯 3-PointerLeBron James makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rui Hachimura assists)87–101
- ScoreAustin Reaves makes driving layup84–101
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | 26 | 27 | 19 | 18 | 90 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 31 | 30 | 23 | 24 | 108 |
Team Stats
| Los Angeles Lakers | Stat | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| 35-85 | FG | 42-85 |
| 10-30 | 3PT | 13-30 |
| 10-13 | FT | 11-12 |
| 41 | REB | 44 |
| 26 | AST | 29 |
| 8 | STL | 8 |
| 4 | BLK | 7 |
| 17 | TO | 14 |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James F· | 36 | 27 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6 |
| Rui Hachimura F· | 37 | 18 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -21 |
| Deandre Ayton C· | 27 | 10 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | -4 |
| Marcus Smart G· | 32 | 12 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 |
| Austin Reaves G· | 36 | 8 | 3-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -10 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt F | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| Jake LaRavia F | 14 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
| Dalton Knecht F | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adou Thiero F | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaxson Hayes C | 16 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -12 |
| Luke Kennard G | 29 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -14 |
| Nick Smith Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bronny James G | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Hartenstein C· | 25 | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +5 |
| Chet Holmgren C· | 31 | 24 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | +10 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G· | 35 | 18 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +9 |
| Luguentz Dort G· | 28 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Ajay Mitchell G· | 28 | 18 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +14 |
| Jaylin Williams F | 20 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +11 |
| Alex Caruso G | 20 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +15 |
| Kenrich Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Joe G | 11 | 9 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +11 |
| Aaron Wiggins G | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
| Cason Wallace G | 19 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +11 |
| Jared McCain G | 15 | 12 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +4 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 20.5Jake LaRavia makes 22-foot three point jumper (Bronny James assists)90–108
- 4th Quarter · 41.0Isaiah Joe makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jared McCain assists)87–108
- 4th Quarter · 51.1shot clock turnover
- 4th Quarter · 1:13Nick Smith Jr. defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 1:15Aaron Wiggins misses two point shot
- 4th Quarter · 1:26Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 1:29Dalton Knecht misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
- 4th Quarter · 1:45Dalton Knecht enters the game for Marcus Smart
- 4th Quarter · 1:45Jake LaRavia enters the game for Rui Hachimura
- 4th Quarter · 1:45Adou Thiero enters the game for LeBron James
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 20.5Jake LaRavia makes 22-foot three point jumper (Bronny James assists)90–108
- 4th Quarter · 41.0Isaiah Joe makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jared McCain assists)87–108
- 4th Quarter · 1:45Isaiah Hartenstein makes 10-foot floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)87–105
- 4th Quarter · 2:12Isaiah Hartenstein makes 13-foot two point shot (Luguentz Dort assists)87–103
- 4th Quarter · 2:39LeBron James makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rui Hachimura assists)87–101
- 4th Quarter · 4:24Austin Reaves makes driving layup84–101
- 4th Quarter · 5:16Jared McCain makes 23-foot three point jumper (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)82–101
- 4th Quarter · 5:48Chet Holmgren makes tip shot82–98
- 4th Quarter · 6:08Rui Hachimura makes 25-foot three point jumper (Austin Reaves assists)82–96
- 4th Quarter · 7:47LeBron James makes dunk (Austin Reaves assists)79–96
- 4th Quarter · 8:00Chet Holmgren makes 1-foot dunk (Jared McCain assists)77–96
- 4th Quarter · 8:22Austin Reaves makes 14-foot pullup jump shot77–94
- 4th Quarter · 8:56Jared McCain makes 26-foot running jump shot (Ajay Mitchell assists)75–94
- 4th Quarter · 9:23Jared McCain makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ajay Mitchell assists)75–91
- 4th Quarter · 9:57Rui Hachimura makes 1-foot driving dunk (Marcus Smart assists)75–88
- 4th Quarter · 10:41Alex Caruso makes 1-foot running dunk73–88
- 4th Quarter · 10:59Ajay Mitchell makes 7-foot pullup jump shot73–86
- 4th Quarter · 11:24Rui Hachimura makes free throw 1 of 273–84
- 3rd Quarter · 12.3Ajay Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 172–84
- 3rd Quarter · 12.3Ajay Mitchell makes 22-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)72–83
- 3rd Quarter · 1:04LeBron James makes two point shot72–80
- 3rd Quarter · 1:35Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 1-foot two point shot (Isaiah Joe assists)70–80
- 3rd Quarter · 2:08LeBron James makes 16-foot two point shot70–78
- 3rd Quarter · 2:22Luke Kennard makes technical free throw68–78
- 3rd Quarter · 3:13Ajay Mitchell makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)67–78