MIN @ SA
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio, TX
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor8:30 PM CT
Result readSan Antonio Spurs
Minnesota Timberwolves 95 · San Antonio Spurs 133
Final
Minnesota Timberwolves54-37-1+2.8 net/g (SOS-adj +2.9) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 60%
San Antonio Spurs68-23+8.5 net/g (SOS-adj +8.4) · expected win rate 74% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeFrost Bank CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs’s scoring margin profile and San Antonio Spurs’s recent stretch. Whichever team wins the second-quarter bench stretch usually wins the game outright.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Antonio Spurs at 81%. Actual: San Antonio Spurs by 38.
Pre-game pick: San Antonio Spurs at 81%. Actual: San Antonio Spurs by 38.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Donte DiVincenzo G · #0
- Julius Randle F · #30
- Rudy Gobert C · #27
- Jaden McDaniels F · #3
San Antonio Spurs
- De'Aaron Fox G · #4
- Julian Champagnie F · #30
- Stephon Castle G · #5
- Victor Wembanyama F · #1
Game Leaders
Minnesota TimberwolvesJulius Randle12 pts
San Antonio SpursStephon Castle21 pts
Injury Report
San Antonio Spurs
David Jones GarciaOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
Donte DiVincenzoOut
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreJoan Beringer makes two point shot (Kyle Anderson assists)95–133
- 🎯 3-PointerJoe Ingles makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Clark assists)93–133
- ScoreBismack Biyombo makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)90–133
- ScoreLindy Waters III makes 1-foot reverse layup (Mason Plumlee assists)90–131
- 🎯 3-PointerJulian Phillips makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kyle Anderson assists)90–129
- 🏀 DunkJoan Beringer makes alley oop layup (Kyle Anderson assists)87–129
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 17 | 18 | 28 | 32 | 95 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 24 | 35 | 39 | 35 | 133 |
Team Stats
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Stat | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| 35-88 | FG | 45-90 |
| 9-30 | 3PT | 16-39 |
| 16-31 | FT | 27-33 |
| 43 | REB | 55 |
| 19 | AST | 29 |
| 7 | STL | 13 |
| 2 | BLK | 9 |
| 22 | TO | 15 |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle F· | 27 | 12 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -26 |
| Jaden McDaniels F· | 20 | 12 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 |
| Rudy Gobert C· | 28 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -23 |
| Mike Conley G· | 16 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -10 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G· | 25 | 12 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -19 |
| Joe Ingles F | 10 | 7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Kyle Anderson F | 14 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -13 |
| Julian Phillips F | 10 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Joan Beringer F | 8 | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
| Naz Reid C | 21 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -26 |
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 10 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 |
| Jaylen Clark G | 15 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 |
| Bones Hyland G | 11 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -17 |
| Anthony Edwards G | 24 | 12 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -33 |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie F· | 22 | 12 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +19 |
| Victor Wembanyama F· | 26 | 19 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | +12 |
| De'Aaron Fox G· | 26 | 16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +24 |
| Devin Vassell G· | 22 | 10 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +13 |
| Stephon Castle G· | 24 | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +17 |
| Harrison Barnes F | 15 | 12 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +18 |
| Kelly Olynyk F | 10 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
| Lindy Waters III F | 8 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 |
| Keldon Johnson F | 19 | 9 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +28 |
| Carter Bryant F | 16 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +18 |
| Bismack Biyombo C | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Mason Plumlee C | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Luke Kornet C | 13 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +22 |
| Jordan McLaughlin G | 10 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| Dylan Harper G | 22 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +24 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 3.9Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 3.9Mason Plumlee blocks Joan Beringer 's 6-foot driving layup
- 4th Quarter · 13.0shot clock turnover
- 4th Quarter · 37.1Kyle Anderson personal foul
- 4th Quarter · 44.2Joan Beringer makes two point shot (Kyle Anderson assists)95–133
- 4th Quarter · 52.7Joe Ingles defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 54.9Kelly Olynyk misses 27-foot three point jumper
- 4th Quarter · 1:07Joe Ingles makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Clark assists)93–133
- 4th Quarter · 1:17Bismack Biyombo makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)90–133
- 4th Quarter · 1:34Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 44.2Joan Beringer makes two point shot (Kyle Anderson assists)95–133
- 4th Quarter · 1:07Joe Ingles makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaylen Clark assists)93–133
- 4th Quarter · 1:17Bismack Biyombo makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)90–133
- 4th Quarter · 1:40Lindy Waters III makes 1-foot reverse layup (Mason Plumlee assists)90–131
- 4th Quarter · 1:54Julian Phillips makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kyle Anderson assists)90–129
- 4th Quarter · 2:24Joan Beringer makes alley oop layup (Kyle Anderson assists)87–129
- 4th Quarter · 2:34Kelly Olynyk makes two point shot85–129
- 4th Quarter · 3:12Kyle Anderson makes free throw 2 of 285–127
- 4th Quarter · 3:49Joan Beringer makes two point shot84–127
- 4th Quarter · 4:09Kelly Olynyk makes 26-foot three point jumper (Lindy Waters III assists)82–127
- 4th Quarter · 4:23Joe Ingles makes 25-foot three pointer82–124
- 4th Quarter · 4:56Joan Beringer makes free throw 2 of 279–124
- 4th Quarter · 5:16Joe Ingles makes free throw 2 of 278–124
- 4th Quarter · 5:38Lindy Waters III makes 28-foot three pointer77–124
- 4th Quarter · 6:11Kyle Anderson makes 5-foot driving floating jump shot (Julian Phillips assists)77–121
- 4th Quarter · 6:31Harrison Barnes makes 27-foot three pointer (Kelly Olynyk assists)75–121
- 4th Quarter · 6:47Kyle Anderson makes free throw 1 of 275–118
- 4th Quarter · 6:56Harrison Barnes makes 1-foot running dunk (Jordan McLaughlin assists)74–118
- 4th Quarter · 7:07Harrison Barnes makes free throw 2 of 274–116
- 4th Quarter · 7:07Harrison Barnes makes free throw 1 of 274–115
- 4th Quarter · 7:22Kyle Anderson makes 4-foot two point shot74–114
- 4th Quarter · 7:37Jordan McLaughlin makes two point shot72–114
- 4th Quarter · 7:53Lindy Waters III makes 23-foot running jump shot (Jordan McLaughlin assists)72–112
- 4th Quarter · 8:58Jaylen Clark makes 24-foot three pointer (Kyle Anderson assists)72–109
- 4th Quarter · 9:11Harrison Barnes makes 25-foot three pointer (Carter Bryant assists)69–109