InTheRafters.com

LAL @ OKC

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor8:30 PM CTPrime Video
Result readOklahoma City Thunder

Los Angeles Lakers 107 · Oklahoma City Thunder 125

Final
Los Angeles Lakers57-33+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.7) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 60%
Oklahoma City Thunder70-18+11.6 net/g (SOS-adj +11.3) · expected win rate 81% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgePaycom CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts

The model leans Oklahoma City Thunder because Oklahoma City Thunder owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Oklahoma City Thunder has the recent-form edge. Three-point variance and free-throw rate move this number more than total field-goal percentage does.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Oklahoma City Thunder at 88%. Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder by 18.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Lakers

Oklahoma City Thunder

Game Leaders

Los Angeles LakersAustin Reaves31 pts
Oklahoma City ThunderChet Holmgren22 pts

Injury Report

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen WilliamsOutThomas SorberOut

Los Angeles Lakers

Jarred VanderbiltDay-To-DayLuka DoncicOut
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Lakers
LD Luka Doncic PG · #77 MS Marcus Smart SG · #36 LJ LeBron James SF · #23 JL Jake LaRavia PF · #12 DA Deandre Ayton C · #5
Oklahoma City Thunder
LD Luguentz Dort PG · #5 SG Shai Gilgeous… SG · #2 JW J. Williams SF · #6 PS P. Sandfort PF · #14 CH Chet Holmgren C · #7

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreDalton Knecht makes driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)4th Quarter · 33.2107–125
  2. ScoreNikola Topic makes two point shot (Isaiah Joe assists)4th Quarter · 57.4105–125
  3. 🎯 3-PointerJared McCain makes 22-foot three point jumper (Ajay Mitchell assists)4th Quarter · 1:46105–123
  4. ScoreNick Smith Jr. makes 13-foot step back jumpshot (Bronny James assists)4th Quarter · 2:09105–120
  5. ScoreShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes driving layup4th Quarter · 2:39103–120
  6. ScoreAustin Reaves makes two point shot4th Quarter · 2:51103–118

Scoring by Period

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Lakers23352227107
Oklahoma City Thunder27303632125

Team Stats

Los Angeles Lakers Stat Oklahoma City Thunder
39-78FG45-81
11-293PT14-36
18-21FT21-26
30REB32
24AST26
7STL12
0BLK5
20TO12

Los Angeles Lakers

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
LeBron James F·38239-181-44-426330111-9
Rui Hachimura F·39166-104-70-042210042-19
Deandre Ayton C·2731-70-01-2100200553-4
Marcus Smart G·34144-131-75-545310225+2
Austin Reaves G·383110-163-68-1026500025-20
Jake LaRavia F1000-20-10-001110002-14
Dalton Knecht F221-10-00-010100010-1
Adou Thiero F600-00-00-030100121+3
Jaxson Hayes C1563-30-00-032210125-11
Luke Kennard G26104-52-30-010000012-15
Nick Smith Jr. G221-30-10-001000000-1
Bronny James G200-00-00-001000000-1

Oklahoma City Thunder

PlayerMINPTSFG3PTFTREBASTTOSTLBLKOREBDREBPF+/-
Isaiah Hartenstein C·27105-60-00-091122452+1
Chet Holmgren C·33227-113-55-793242363+19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G·28227-131-37-922310024+5
Luguentz Dort G·2331-61-60-012210012-1
Ajay Mitchell G·30207-120-36-736200122+18
Jaylin Williams F1572-42-41-121000022+12
Alex Caruso G2252-61-50-044120040+17
Kenrich Williams G200-10-10-000000000+1
Isaiah Joe G942-30-10-003000000-1
Aaron Wiggins G200-00-00-000010000+1
Cason Wallace G31124-72-32-224011113+17
Jared McCain G18187-114-50-000100003+1
Nikola Topic G121-10-00-0000000000

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
  2. 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
  3. 4th Quarter · 1.1Adou Thiero lost ball turnover (Aaron Wiggins steals)
  4. 4th Quarter · 1.7Adou Thiero offensive rebound
  5. 4th Quarter · 3.4Nick Smith Jr. misses layup
  6. 4th Quarter · 9.1shot clock turnover
  7. 4th Quarter · 33.2Dalton Knecht makes driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)107–125
  8. 4th Quarter · 57.4Nikola Topic makes two point shot (Isaiah Joe assists)105–125
  9. 4th Quarter · 1:17Nikola Topic enters the game for Ajay Mitchell
  10. 4th Quarter · 1:17Isaiah Joe enters the game for Cason Wallace
  11. 4th Quarter · 1:17Dalton Knecht out of bounds bad pass turnover
  12. 4th Quarter · 1:18Dalton Knecht defensive rebound

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th Quarter · 33.2Dalton Knecht makes driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)107–125
  2. 4th Quarter · 57.4Nikola Topic makes two point shot (Isaiah Joe assists)105–125
  3. 4th Quarter · 1:46Jared McCain makes 22-foot three point jumper (Ajay Mitchell assists)105–123
  4. 4th Quarter · 2:09Nick Smith Jr. makes 13-foot step back jumpshot (Bronny James assists)105–120
  5. 4th Quarter · 2:39Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes driving layup103–120
  6. 4th Quarter · 2:51Austin Reaves makes two point shot103–118
  7. 4th Quarter · 3:03Chet Holmgren makes two point shot101–118
  8. 4th Quarter · 3:20Austin Reaves makes free throw 2 of 2101–116
  9. 4th Quarter · 3:20Austin Reaves makes free throw 1 of 2100–116
  10. 4th Quarter · 3:37Cason Wallace makes 25-foot three point jumper (Chet Holmgren assists)99–116
  11. 4th Quarter · 3:45Luke Kennard makes driving layup (Austin Reaves assists)99–113
  12. 4th Quarter · 4:04Cason Wallace makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)97–113
  13. 4th Quarter · 4:28LeBron James makes free throw 2 of 297–111
  14. 4th Quarter · 4:28LeBron James makes free throw 1 of 296–111
  15. 4th Quarter · 4:48Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot (Cason Wallace assists)95–111
  16. 4th Quarter · 5:19Chet Holmgren makes free throw 2 of 295–108
  17. 4th Quarter · 5:36Austin Reaves makes free throw 2 of 395–107
  18. 4th Quarter · 5:54Cason Wallace makes 23-foot three point jumper (Alex Caruso assists)94–107
  19. 4th Quarter · 6:47Chet Holmgren makes free throw 2 of 294–104
  20. 4th Quarter · 6:47Chet Holmgren makes free throw 1 of 294–103
  21. 4th Quarter · 7:14Chet Holmgren makes 24-foot three point jumper94–102
  22. 4th Quarter · 7:36LeBron James makes 7-foot two point shot (Rui Hachimura assists)94–99
  23. 4th Quarter · 7:59Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes free throw 2 of 292–99
  24. 4th Quarter · 7:59Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes free throw 1 of 292–98
  25. 4th Quarter · 8:26Austin Reaves makes 25-foot three point jumper (LeBron James assists)92–97

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