SA @ MIN
Target Center · Minneapolis, MN
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor8:30 PM CTPrime Video
Result readSan Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs 115 · Minnesota Timberwolves 108
Final
San Antonio Spurs69-24+8.6 net/g (SOS-adj +8.5) · expected win rate 74% · last 10: 70%
Minnesota Timberwolves55-38-1+2.5 net/g (SOS-adj +2.8) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeTarget CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating pts
Pick goes to San Antonio Spurs on the back of San Antonio Spurs’s margin work and San Antonio Spurs’s last-ten momentum. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: San Antonio Spurs at 89%. Actual: San Antonio Spurs by 7.
Pre-game pick: San Antonio Spurs at 89%. Actual: San Antonio Spurs by 7.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Antonio Spurs
- De'Aaron Fox G · #4
- Julian Champagnie F · #30
- Stephon Castle G · #5
- Victor Wembanyama F · #1
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Donte DiVincenzo G · #0
- Julius Randle F · #30
- Rudy Gobert C · #27
- Jaden McDaniels F · #3
Game Leaders
San Antonio SpursVictor Wembanyama39 pts
Minnesota TimberwolvesAnthony Edwards32 pts
Injury Report
Minnesota Timberwolves
Donte DiVincenzoOut
San Antonio Spurs
David Jones GarciaOut
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Top Performers
Final Notes
- Final frame: San Antonio Spurs beat Minnesota Timberwolves 115-108.
- Top line: Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) — 39 PTS, 15 REB, 1 AST, 1 STL.
- Support line: Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) — 32 PTS, 14 REB, 6 AST, 1 BLK.
- Support line: Naz Reid (Minnesota Timberwolves) — 18 PTS, 9 REB, 5 AST, 2 BLK.
Highlights
- ScoreDylan Harper makes free throw 2 of 2115–108
- ScoreDylan Harper makes free throw 1 of 2114–108
- ScoreAnthony Edwards makes 24-foot turnaround jump shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)113–108
- ScoreVictor Wembanyama makes free throw 2 of 2113–105
- ScoreVictor Wembanyama makes free throw 1 of 2112–105
- ScoreDe'Aaron Fox makes free throw 2 of 2111–105
Scoring by Period
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 23 | 28 | 35 | 29 | 115 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 22 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 108 |
Team Stats
| San Antonio Spurs | Stat | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| 39-85 | FG | 38-99 |
| 12-33 | 3PT | 14-40 |
| 25-33 | FT | 18-21 |
| 48 | REB | 54 |
| 26 | AST | 22 |
| 9 | STL | 3 |
| 7 | BLK | 7 |
| 9 | TO | 12 |
San Antonio Spurs
· Starter DNP did not play
Player Stats 1#
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||||||||
| Julian Champagnie F· | 29 | 6 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +5 |
| Victor Wembanyama F· | 37 | 39 | 13-18 | 3-5 | 10-12 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +16 |
| De'Aaron Fox G· | 35 | 17 | 7-19 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
| Devin Vassell G· | 36 | 13 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +10 |
| Stephon Castle G· | 40 | 13 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +17 |
| Bench | ||||||||||||||
| Harrison Barnes F | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
| Keldon Johnson F | 19 | 11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11 |
| Carter Bryant F | 8 | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7 |
| Luke Kornet C | 11 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 |
| Dylan Harper G | 20 | 8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Kelly Olynyk F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Lindy Waters III F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Bismack Biyombo C | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Mason Plumlee C | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Jordan McLaughlin G | DNP | |||||||||||||
Minnesota Timberwolves
· Starter DNP did not play
Player Stats 1#
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||||||||
| Julius Randle F· | 31 | 12 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -11 |
| Jaden McDaniels F· | 40 | 17 | 5-22 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -15 |
| Rudy Gobert C· | 31 | 13 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -6 |
| Mike Conley G· | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10 |
| Anthony Edwards G· | 41 | 32 | 12-26 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -10 |
| Bench | ||||||||||||||
| Naz Reid C | 32 | 18 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 32 | 11 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G | 28 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +19 |
| Joe Ingles F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Kyle Anderson F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Julian Phillips F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Joan Beringer F | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Jaylen Clark G | DNP | |||||||||||||
| Bones Hyland G | DNP | |||||||||||||
Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of Game
- 4th Quarter · 0.0End of the 4th Quarter
- 4th Quarter · 8.5Devin Vassell defensive rebound
- 4th Quarter · 10.7Jaden McDaniels misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
- 4th Quarter · 16.8Dylan Harper makes free throw 2 of 2115–108
- 4th Quarter · 16.8Dylan Harper makes free throw 1 of 2114–108
- 4th Quarter · 16.8Naz Reid personal take foul
- 4th Quarter · 21.6Dylan Harper enters the game for Julian Champagnie
- 4th Quarter · 21.6Spurs Full timeout
- 4th Quarter · 23.9Anthony Edwards makes 24-foot turnaround jump shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)113–108
- 4th Quarter · 26.4Timberwolves Full timeout
- 4th Quarter · 26.4Stephon Castle personal take foul
Scoring Plays
- 4th Quarter · 16.8Dylan Harper makes free throw 2 of 2115–108
- 4th Quarter · 16.8Dylan Harper makes free throw 1 of 2114–108
- 4th Quarter · 23.9Anthony Edwards makes 24-foot turnaround jump shot (Ayo Dosunmu assists)113–108
- 4th Quarter · 29.8Victor Wembanyama makes free throw 2 of 2113–105
- 4th Quarter · 29.8Victor Wembanyama makes free throw 1 of 2112–105
- 4th Quarter · 1:22De'Aaron Fox makes free throw 2 of 2111–105
- 4th Quarter · 1:22De'Aaron Fox makes free throw 1 of 2110–105
- 4th Quarter · 1:45Jaden McDaniels makes driving layup (Anthony Edwards assists)109–105
- 4th Quarter · 3:06Victor Wembanyama makes 24-foot three point jumper (Devin Vassell assists)109–103
- 4th Quarter · 3:27Naz Reid makes 23-foot three point jumper (Anthony Edwards assists)106–103
- 4th Quarter · 3:45Victor Wembanyama makes 8-foot two point shot106–100
- 4th Quarter · 4:23Dylan Harper makes 2-foot layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)104–100
- 4th Quarter · 5:40Julius Randle makes two point shot102–100
- 4th Quarter · 6:03Julian Champagnie makes 22-foot three point jumper (Stephon Castle assists)102–98
- 4th Quarter · 6:18Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 2 of 299–98
- 4th Quarter · 6:18Jaden McDaniels makes free throw 1 of 299–97
- 4th Quarter · 6:45Rudy Gobert makes free throw 1 of 199–96
- 4th Quarter · 6:45Rudy Gobert makes two point shot99–95
- 4th Quarter · 7:09De'Aaron Fox makes 19-foot step back jumpshot99–93
- 4th Quarter · 7:21Anthony Edwards makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot97–93
- 4th Quarter · 7:41Dylan Harper makes 9-foot turnaround jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)97–91
- 4th Quarter · 8:03Terrence Shannon Jr. makes running layup (Ayo Dosunmu assists)95–91
- 4th Quarter · 8:31Julius Randle makes 1-foot dunk95–89
- 4th Quarter · 9:09Victor Wembanyama makes 25-foot three point jumper (Stephon Castle assists)95–87
- 4th Quarter · 9:24Ayo Dosunmu makes 23-foot three point jumper (Naz Reid assists)92–87