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Recent Form

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • W@ PHX131-122
  • Wvs LAL108-90
  • Wvs LAL125-107
  • W@ LAL131-108
  • W@ LAL115-110

San Antonio Spurs

  • Wvs MIN133-95
  • W@ MIN115-108
  • L@ MIN114-109
  • Wvs MIN126-97
  • W@ MIN139-109

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor7:30 PM CTPeacock
Projected leanOklahoma City Thunder

San Antonio Spurs 112 · Oklahoma City Thunder 116

56%confidence
San Antonio Spurs70-24+8.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +8.7) · expected win rate 74% · last 10: 70%
Oklahoma City Thunder72-18+11.6 net/g (schedule-adjusted +11.3) · expected win rate 81% · last 10: 80%
Home VenuePaycom CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating points

Pick goes to Oklahoma City Thunder on the back of Oklahoma City Thunder’s margin work and Oklahoma City Thunder’s last-ten momentum. Three-point variance and free-throw rate move this number more than total field-goal percentage does.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. Oklahoma City Thunder projects 81% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Antonio Spurs sits at 74%.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen WilliamsOutThomas SorberOut

San Antonio Spurs

David Jones GarciaOut
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

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