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Recent Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • Wvs MIN133-95
  • W@ MIN115-108
  • L@ MIN114-109
  • Wvs MIN126-97
  • W@ MIN139-109

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • W@ PHX131-122
  • Wvs LAL108-90
  • Wvs LAL125-107
  • W@ LAL131-108
  • W@ LAL115-110

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor7:30 PM CTPeacock
Projected leanOklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder 115 · San Antonio Spurs 113

52%confidence
Oklahoma City Thunder72-18+11.6 net/g (schedule-adjusted +11.3) · expected win rate 81% · last 10: 80%
San Antonio Spurs70-24+8.8 net/g (schedule-adjusted +8.7) · expected win rate 74% · last 10: 70%
Home VenueFrost Bank CenterHome adjustment: +2.2 rating points

Oklahoma City Thunder is the lean because of Oklahoma City Thunder on the margin numbers and Oklahoma City Thunder on the form numbers. Whichever team wins the second-quarter bench stretch usually wins the game outright.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. Oklahoma City Thunder projects 81% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Antonio Spurs sits at 74%.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Oklahoma City Thunder
52% San Antonio Spurs win probability 48%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder: Team baseline-3.2
  • San Antonio Spurs: Home venue+2.2

For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

San Antonio Spurs

Luke KornetDay-To-DayDe'Aaron FoxDay-To-DayDavid Jones GarciaOut

Oklahoma City Thunder

Thomas SorberOut
On The Court

A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.

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