OKC @ SA
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio, TX
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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs
- Wvs MIN126-97
- W@ MIN139-109
- W@ OKC122-115 2OT
- L@ OKC122-113
- Lvs OKC123-108
Oklahoma City Thunder
- W@ LAL131-108
- W@ LAL115-110
- Lvs SA122-115 2OT
- Wvs SA122-113
- W@ SA123-108
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Oklahoma City Thunder 116 · San Antonio Spurs 112
Oklahoma City Thunder is the lean because of Oklahoma City Thunder on the margin numbers and Oklahoma City Thunder on the form numbers. Foul trouble for either side's anchor wing is the biggest single risk to the projection.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Oklahoma City Thunder is 90% over their recent sample; San Antonio Spurs is 60%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Oklahoma City Thunder projects 80% from points-for vs points-allowed; San Antonio Spurs sits at 73%.
- Scoring margin. Oklahoma City Thunder at +11.4 per game vs. San Antonio Spurs at +8.4 — a 3.1-point gap on the season.
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Rafty Game Lab
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Why This Pick?
- Oklahoma City Thunder: Team baseline-9.3
- San Antonio Spurs: Home venue+2.2
- Oklahoma City Thunder: away pythag -0.41
- San Antonio Spurs: home pythag +0.35
- San Antonio Spurs: away diff pg +0.32
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Chet Holmgren C · #7
- Luguentz Dort G · #5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G · #2
- Isaiah Hartenstein C · #55
San Antonio Spurs
- De'Aaron Fox G · #4
- Julian Champagnie F · #30
- Stephon Castle G · #5
- Victor Wembanyama F · #1
Injury Report
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
On The Court
A quick look at where each team's starters slot in. Click a player to open their profile.