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InTheRafters.com

MIN @ COL

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:00 PM MT🥅 Jesper Wallstedt vs Scott WedgewoodHBO Max
Result readColorado Avalanche

Minnesota Wild 6 · Colorado Avalanche 9

Final
Minnesota Wild50-40+0.4 net/g (SOS-adj +0.4) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Avalanche61-27+1.3 net/g (SOS-adj +1.2) · expected win rate 70% · last 10: 90%
Venue EdgeBall ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Pick goes to Colorado Avalanche on the back of Colorado Avalanche’s margin work and Colorado Avalanche’s last-ten momentum. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Colorado Avalanche at 81%. Actual: Colorado Avalanche by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Wild

Colorado Avalanche

Game Leaders

Minnesota WildMarcus Foligno1
Colorado AvalancheJack Drury1

Injury Report

Colorado Avalanche

Josh MansonDay-To-DayJoel KivirantaOut

Minnesota Wild

Joel Eriksson EkOutJonas BrodinOutCharlie StramelOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Wild
KK K. Kaprizov LW · #97 JE J. Ek C · #14 VT V. Tarasenko RW · #91 BF Brock Faber LD · #7 JS Jared Spurgeon RD · #46 FG F. Gustavsson G · #32
Colorado Avalanche
AL A. Lehkonen LW · #62 NM N. MacKinnon C · #29 VN V. Nichushkin RW · #13 CM Cale Makar LD · #8 SM Sam Malinski RD · #70 SW S. Wedgewood G · #41

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalNathan MacKinnon Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Artturi Lehkonen (3)3rd · 17:526–9
  2. 🥅 GoalCale Makar Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Devon Toews (5), Martin Necas (5)3rd · 17:066–8
  3. 🥅 GoalMats Zuccarello Goal (2) Tip-In, assists: Matt Boldy (4), Quinn Hughes (8)3rd · 16:016–7
  4. 🥅 GoalNazem Kadri Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Ross Colton (1), Devon Toews (4)3rd · 5:435–7
  5. 🥅 GoalCale Makar Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (4), Gabriel Landeskog (3)3rd · 3:215–6
  6. 🥅 GoalDevon Toews Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Valeri Nichushkin (2), Sam Malinski (2)2nd · 18:045–5

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Minnesota Wild2316
Colorado Avalanche3249

Team Stats

Minnesota Wild Stat Colorado Avalanche
0PPG1
8PIM10
41FO Won24
24Hits26
3Takeaways6

Minnesota Wild

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Matt Boldy LW220020:274:550:5814:34230613304180.0000
Nick Foligno LW030-112:030:001:5110:12160001004266.7100
Marcus Foligno LW030010:380:000:1610:2214120310000.0000
Ryan Hartman RW020-216:001:020:0014:582512073011955.0212
Marcus Johansson LW010113:351:080:0012:2718120100000.0000
Kirill Kaprizov LW111-221:465:120:0016:3426021120000.0000
Michael McCarron C201-114:220:001:3612:462102121016672.7100
Nico Sturm C100-211:150:000:5710:18150002004357.1000
Vladimir Tarasenko RW110016:252:140:0014:1120120210000.0000
Yakov Trenin C050011:400:000:0011:4017001110000.0000
Danila Yurov RW011211:100:000:0011:10170010002340.0200
Mats Zuccarello RW000-219:455:010:0014:4423120210000.0100
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Zach Bogosian D010115:020:000:3414:2820000000000.0000
Brock Faber D100-125:314:070:0021:2427030500000.0136
Quinn Hughes D100028:575:080:0023:4928132200000.0300
Daemon Hunt D210114:140:000:3513:3920000100000.0000
Jake Middleton D110-316:420:212:1414:0727000200000.0300
Jared Spurgeon D120-318:110:522:1515:0427000100000.0100
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Jesper Wallstedt G8420034.810322059:2800

Colorado Avalanche

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ross Colton C120-210:230:000:0010:2316001110010.0000
Jack Drury C010012:280:001:4810:40181101006554.5000
Nazem Kadri C011-313:511:430:0012:08201108102528.6012
Parker Kelly C030113:040:002:1410:5018000200000.0100
Gabriel Landeskog LW230013:000:540:0012:06220211001420.0124
Artturi Lehkonen LW130419:201:551:2815:5727131300000.0312
Nathan MacKinnon C011319:061:430:0017:2325132410101050.0400
Martin Necas C020318:381:430:0016:5524003300000.0000
Brock Nelson C111117:161:062:4713:232501041051229.4000
Valeri Nichushkin RW010115:241:062:1412:0423002220000.0100
Logan O'Connor RW030013:080:001:3111:3716011510000.0100
Nicolas Roy C110-210:050:000:0010:0517020000040.0100
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Nick Blankenburg D000-210:060:000:0010:0617110210000.0000
Brent Burns D111-318:090:003:1214:5726000010000.0100
Brett Kulak D101025:010:002:1222:4930000120000.0000
Cale Makar D200217:110:542:1714:0021241300000.0312
Sam Malinski D030320:151:060:2718:4224111220000.0000
Devon Toews D101427:351:553:5021:5034123100000.0000
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Scott Wedgewood G6360030.833262260:0000

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:47Michael McCarron faceoff won against Nazem Kadri
  4. 3rd · 19:47Icing
  5. 3rd · 19:24Yakov Trenin hit Nicolas Roy
  6. 3rd · 19:11Ross Colton Snap Shot Wide Right
  7. 3rd · 18:57Logan O'Connor Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  8. 3rd · 18:56Logan O'Connor Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  9. 3rd · 17:52Jack Drury faceoff won against Nico Sturm
  10. 3rd · 17:52Nathan MacKinnon Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Artturi Lehkonen (3)6–9
  11. 3rd · 17:20Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
  12. 3rd · 17:06Matt Boldy faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 17:52Nathan MacKinnon Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Artturi Lehkonen (3)6–9
  2. 3rd · 17:06Cale Makar Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Devon Toews (5), Martin Necas (5)6–8
  3. 3rd · 16:01Mats Zuccarello Goal (2) Tip-In, assists: Matt Boldy (4), Quinn Hughes (8)6–7
  4. 3rd · 5:43Nazem Kadri Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Ross Colton (1), Devon Toews (4)5–7
  5. 3rd · 3:21Cale Makar Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (4), Gabriel Landeskog (3)5–6
  6. 2nd · 18:04Devon Toews Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Valeri Nichushkin (2), Sam Malinski (2)5–5
  7. 2nd · 16:55Marcus Foligno Goal (2) Backhand, assists: none5–4
  8. 2nd · 12:43Quinn Hughes Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Danila Yurov (1)4–4
  9. 2nd · 6:45Vladimir Tarasenko Goal (2) Backhand, assists: Yakov Trenin (2), Michael McCarron (1)3–4
  10. 2nd · 4:16Nick Blankenburg Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Valeri Nichushkin (1), Cale Makar (1)2–4
  11. 1st · 16:04Ryan Hartman Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Quinn Hughes (7), Kirill Kaprizov (8)2–3
  12. 1st · 15:02Marcus Johansson Goal (2) Slap Shot, assists: none1–3
  13. 1st · 13:13Artturi Lehkonen Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (3), Martin Necas (4)0–3
  14. 1st · 12:04Jack Drury Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Logan O'Connor (1)0–2
  15. 1st · 11:12Sam Malinski Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Martin Necas (3), Devon Toews (3)0–1

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