InTheRafters.com

ANA @ VGK

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:50 PM PT🥅 Lukas Dostal vs Carter Hart
Result readVegas Golden Knights

Anaheim Ducks 1 · Vegas Golden Knights 3

Final
Anaheim Ducks48-43-0.2 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 60%
Vegas Golden Knights45-46+0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 54% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Vegas Golden Knights: Vegas Golden Knights’s scoring margin profile and Vegas Golden Knights’s recent stretch. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 69%. Actual: Vegas Golden Knights by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Anaheim Ducks

Vegas Golden Knights

Game Leaders

Anaheim DucksMikael Granlund1
Vegas Golden KnightsIvan Barbashev1

Injury Report

Vegas Golden Knights

Mark StoneDay-To-Day

Anaheim Ducks

Radko GudasOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Anaheim Ducks
CG C. Gauthier LW · #61 LC Leo Carlsson C · #91 BS B. Sennecke RW · #45 JL J. LaCombe LD · #2 JT Jacob Trouba RD · #65 LD Lukas Dostal G · #1
Vegas Golden Knights
IB Ivan Barbashev LW · #49 JE Jack Eichel C · #9 MM Mitch Marner RW · #93 ST Shea Theodore LD · #27 NH Noah Hanifin RD · #15 AS Akira Schmid G · #40

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalMitch Marner Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: none3rd · 19:541–3
  2. 🥅 GoalIvan Barbashev Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Pavel Dorofeyev (1)3rd · 15:021–2
  3. 🥅 GoalMikael Granlund Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson LaCombe (9), John Carlson (6)3rd · 13:571–1
  4. 🥅 GoalBrett Howden Goal (5) Deflected, assists: Mitch Marner (6), Rasmus Andersson (1)2nd · 3:140–1

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Anaheim Ducks0011
Vegas Golden Knights0123

Team Stats

Anaheim Ducks Stat Vegas Golden Knights
0PPG0
8PIM12
28FO Won29
37Hits26
2Takeaways8

Anaheim Ducks

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Leo Carlsson C000-221:034:480:1116:04260304207558.3000
Cutter Gauthier LW020-114:043:010:0011:03210402302166.7000
Mikael Granlund C220022:174:301:5815:49291302005935.7100
Alex Killorn LW000017:273:121:3412:4124030010010.0212
Chris Kreider LW020-218:314:540:0013:3725010110010.0000
Mason McTavish C111-19:092:550:006:14160102001233.3000
Ryan Poehling C010-19:380:001:437:55160402104544.4000
Beckett Sennecke RW000116:453:110:0013:3421010210000.0200
Troy Terry RW000-220:544:370:2415:5326030430000.0000
Jeffrey Viel LW080013:060:110:0012:5521020200010.0124
Tim Washe C160012:150:112:079:57220000109469.2000
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
John Carlson D210024:434:131:0119:2931001210000.0112
Drew Helleson D01008:180:000:537:2513000110000.0000
Tyson Hinds D21008:450:002:046:4115000010000.0200
Jackson LaCombe D021-128:073:480:0024:1931011210000.0300
Pavel Mintyukov D010-118:490:001:5616:5326000100000.0200
Ian Moore D05009:510:110:009:4019000310000.0100
Jacob Trouba D240-122:080:182:0919:4130010400000.0200
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Lukas Dostal G2210019.905154058:1000

Vegas Golden Knights

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ivan Barbashev LW030116:040:440:4314:3719130100000.0200
Pavel Dorofeyev RW000114:103:130:0010:5719041120000.0100
Nic Dowd C100-113:390:003:2410:152002012041028.6200
Jack Eichel C110220:573:092:2315:25230101007463.6000
Tomas Hertl C030010:040:440:009:2014000300000.0100
Brett Howden C040114:450:481:4712:10231502109281.8000
William Karlsson C010011:090:000:2110:48200001007653.8012
Keegan Kolesar RW020011:470:002:029:4516000120010.0012
Mitch Marner RW010218:123:151:1913:38221313302528.6400
Colton Sissons C211-111:520:000:5710:5519020000000.0112
Cole Smith RW021-110:470:001:209:2718020000000.0012
Mark Stone RW010219:253:141:4114:3024020230000.0100
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Rasmus Andersson D100321:390:512:2018:2835001120000.0112
Noah Hanifin D103222:460:563:1218:3837000210000.0400
Ben Hutton D10008:470:000:008:4715000120000.0112
Kaedan Korczak D120-113:140:000:4012:3420000000000.0000
Brayden McNabb D352025:090:025:0520:0236000110000.0200
Shea Theodore D501025:483:044:4617:5838020100000.0300
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Carter Hart G1340033.971285059:4600

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 20:00Ben Hutton Roughing against Jeffrey Viel
  4. 3rd · 20:00Jeffrey Viel Roughing against Ben Hutton
  5. 3rd · 19:54Tim Washe faceoff won against William Karlsson
  6. 3rd · 19:54Mitch Marner Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: none1–3
  7. 3rd · 19:13Giveaway by Mark Stone
  8. 3rd · 19:09Leo Carlsson Snap Shot saved by Carter Hart
  9. 3rd · 19:02Giveaway by Brayden McNabb
  10. 3rd · 18:55Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  11. 3rd · 18:52Troy Terry Wrist Shot Wide Right
  12. 3rd · 18:46Jack Eichel hit Leo Carlsson

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 19:54Mitch Marner Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: none1–3
  2. 3rd · 15:02Ivan Barbashev Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Pavel Dorofeyev (1)1–2
  3. 3rd · 13:57Mikael Granlund Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson LaCombe (9), John Carlson (6)1–1
  4. 2nd · 3:14Brett Howden Goal (5) Deflected, assists: Mitch Marner (6), Rasmus Andersson (1)0–1

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