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InTheRafters.com

MIN @ COL

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:00 PM MT🥅 Filip Gustavsson vs Scott Wedgewood
Result readColorado Avalanche

Minnesota Wild 2 · Colorado Avalanche 5

Final
Minnesota Wild50-40+0.4 net/g (SOS-adj +0.4) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 50%
Colorado Avalanche61-27+1.3 net/g (SOS-adj +1.2) · expected win rate 70% · last 10: 90%
Venue EdgeBall ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

The model leans Colorado Avalanche because Colorado Avalanche owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Colorado Avalanche has the recent-form edge. Faceoff wins at center ice and PK discipline are the real swings — even strength tends to wash.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Colorado Avalanche at 81%. Actual: Colorado Avalanche by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Wild

Colorado Avalanche

Game Leaders

Minnesota WildMarcus Johansson1
Colorado AvalancheGabriel Landeskog1

Injury Report

Colorado Avalanche

Josh MansonDay-To-DayJoel KivirantaOut

Minnesota Wild

Joel Eriksson EkOutJonas BrodinOutCharlie StramelOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Wild
KK K. Kaprizov LW · #97 JE J. Ek C · #14 VT V. Tarasenko RW · #91 BF Brock Faber LD · #7 JS Jared Spurgeon RD · #46 FG F. Gustavsson G · #32
Colorado Avalanche
AL A. Lehkonen LW · #62 NM N. MacKinnon C · #29 VN V. Nichushkin RW · #13 CM Cale Makar LD · #8 SM Sam Malinski RD · #70 SW S. Wedgewood G · #41

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🥅 GoalValeri Nichushkin Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Brett Kulak (3), Brent Burns (1)3rd · 19:552–5
  2. 🥅 GoalMarcus Johansson Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Danila Yurov (2), Daemon Hunt (1)3rd · 14:332–4
  3. 🥅 GoalNathan MacKinnon Goal (4) Slap Shot, assists: Nazem Kadri (3), Gabriel Landeskog (4)3rd · 13:181–4
  4. 🥅 GoalNicolas Roy Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Ross Colton (2), Brock Nelson (1)2nd · 1:241–3
  5. 🥅 GoalGabriel Landeskog Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (6), Martin Necas (6)1st · 8:241–2
  6. 🥅 GoalKirill Kaprizov Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Hartman (4), Mats Zuccarello (5)1st · 2:571–1

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Minnesota Wild1012
Colorado Avalanche2125

Team Stats

Minnesota Wild Stat Colorado Avalanche
0PPG2
10PIM4
23FO Won39
31Hits28
2Takeaways5

Minnesota Wild

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Matt Boldy LW020-119:532:371:2615:50210601403730.0200
Nick Foligno LW02009:420:002:157:2715000000020.0100
Marcus Foligno LW030012:240:003:049:2019020110000.0100
Ryan Hartman RW120-118:212:410:0015:402102151091242.9112
Marcus Johansson LW000012:201:230:0010:5717130420000.0000
Kirill Kaprizov LW130-123:123:160:0019:5625130440010.0112
Michael McCarron C231015:480:264:0711:151902021081240.0000
Nico Sturm C030012:430:003:099:34200000001233.3000
Vladimir Tarasenko RW010011:250:440:0010:4117020200000.0112
Yakov Trenin C150012:570:001:2711:3017000000000.0012
Danila Yurov RW000010:040:530:009:11150012201325.0000
Mats Zuccarello RW010-119:042:470:0016:172002131010100.0112
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Brock Faber D410-128:310:445:1922:2837030220000.0200
Quinn Hughes D000-128:073:160:0024:5132030020000.0000
Daemon Hunt D010113:040:004:128:5221001100000.0000
Jake Middleton D220-118:090:002:4015:2930000100000.0000
Jeff Petry D11119:280:000:009:2816000100000.0100
Jared Spurgeon D110-119:561:133:1715:2631000200000.0000
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Filip Gustavsson G4220018.818116157:0800

Colorado Avalanche

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Ross Colton C14019:290:000:009:2916001000000.0200
Jack Drury C000-19:570:002:047:532001010013668.4000
Nazem Kadri C000015:245:500:009:34180114002250.0300
Parker Kelly C050-110:050:001:568:0920000100000.0100
Gabriel Landeskog LW040019:545:530:0014:01221311203350.0000
Artturi Lehkonen LW120119:291:521:3616:0126030020000.0000
Nathan MacKinnon C021022:065:470:0016:19221425205935.7000
Martin Necas C000019:025:470:0013:1522111310010.0000
Brock Nelson C020218:421:540:0016:482301101012285.7024
Valeri Nichushkin RW120117:561:571:0414:5522110100000.0000
Logan O'Connor RW021-110:020:001:208:4218010100000.0000
Nicolas Roy C01019:370:000:009:371513010040100.0100
PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Nick Blankenburg D00007:080:000:007:0812010010000.0000
Brent Burns D120017:360:001:5215:4425001110000.0000
Brett Kulak D201121:040:001:1419:5028002100000.0100
Cale Makar D101024:065:401:2816:5827040100000.0300
Sam Malinski D210120:571:550:3918:2323010110000.0100
Devon Toews D211023:262:052:4718:3430020110000.0200
PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Scott Wedgewood G2310029.935189260:0000

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:55Jack Drury faceoff won against Nick Foligno
  4. 3rd · 19:55Valeri Nichushkin Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Brett Kulak (3), Brent Burns (1)2–5
  5. 3rd · 19:07Matt Boldy shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  6. 3rd · 19:04Matt Boldy faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
  7. 3rd · 19:04Icing
  8. 3rd · 18:57Kirill Kaprizov Snap Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
  9. 3rd · 18:40Nathan MacKinnon hit Matt Boldy
  10. 3rd · 18:25Brock Faber Snap Shot Hit Left Post
  11. 3rd · 18:07Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot Wide Right
  12. 3rd · 18:05Giveaway by Cale Makar

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 19:55Valeri Nichushkin Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Brett Kulak (3), Brent Burns (1)2–5
  2. 3rd · 14:33Marcus Johansson Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Danila Yurov (2), Daemon Hunt (1)2–4
  3. 3rd · 13:18Nathan MacKinnon Goal (4) Slap Shot, assists: Nazem Kadri (3), Gabriel Landeskog (4)1–4
  4. 2nd · 1:24Nicolas Roy Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Ross Colton (2), Brock Nelson (1)1–3
  5. 1st · 8:24Gabriel Landeskog Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (6), Martin Necas (6)1–2
  6. 1st · 2:57Kirill Kaprizov Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan Hartman (4), Mats Zuccarello (5)1–1
  7. 1st · 2:51Martin Necas Goal (1) Backhand, assists: Nathan MacKinnon (5), Brett Kulak (2)0–1

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