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Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor8:00 PM CTGoalies: Scott Wedgewood vs Jesper WallstedtHBO Max
Result readMinnesota Wild

Colorado Avalanche 1 · Minnesota Wild 5

Final
Colorado Avalanche62-28+1.2 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.2) · expected win rate 70% · last 10: 90%
Minnesota Wild51-41+0.4 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.4) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 50%
Home VenueGrand Casino ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating points

Minnesota Wild gets the nod thanks to Colorado Avalanche’s margin advantage, with Colorado Avalanche’s recent run providing the second tip. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Colorado Avalanche at 94%. Actual: Minnesota Wild by 4.

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Game Leaders

Colorado AvalancheNathan MacKinnon1
Minnesota WildMatt Boldy1

Injury Report

Minnesota Wild

Zach BogosianOutJonas BrodinOutJoel Eriksson EkOutCharlie StramelOut

Colorado Avalanche

Artturi LehkonenOutSam MalinskiOut
On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Minnesota Wild beat Colorado Avalanche 5-1.
  • Top line: Kirill Kaprizov (Minnesota Wild) — 1 G, 2 A.
  • Support line: Brock Faber (Minnesota Wild) — 1 G, 2 A, 2 PIM.
  • Support line: Quinn Hughes (Minnesota Wild) — 1 G, 1 A, 2 PIM.

Highlights

  1. GoalMatt Boldy Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (5)3rd · 19:561–5
  2. GoalBrock Faber Goal (4) Deflected, assists: Vladimir Tarasenko (2), Michael McCarron (2)2nd · 13:311–4
  3. GoalNathan MacKinnon Goal (5) Backhand, assists: Gabriel Landeskog (5), Nazem Kadri (4)2nd · 13:111–3
  4. GoalRyan Hartman Goal (3) Batted, assists: Mats Zuccarello (7), Kirill Kaprizov (10)2nd · 4:230–3
  5. GoalQuinn Hughes Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Mats Zuccarello (6), Kirill Kaprizov (9)1st · 16:440–2
  6. GoalKirill Kaprizov Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (4), Quinn Hughes (9)1st · 15:110–1

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3T
Colorado Avalanche0101
Minnesota Wild2215

Team Stats

Colorado Avalanche Stat Minnesota Wild
1PPG2
8PIM8
32FO Won20
25Hits39
3Takeaways7

Colorado Avalanche

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Ross ColtonValue card C02008:080:000:008:0812010100000.0100
Jack DruryValue card C010-18:470:000:557:521401011050100.0000
Nazem KadriValue card C111-121:074:210:0016:46170213004180.0100
Parker KellyValue card C010-18:540:000:557:591501040010100.0024
Gabriel LandeskogValue card LW050020:404:160:0016:24210317105550.0200
Artturi LehkonenValue card LW110-115:300:380:0014:5221030030000.0100
Nathan MacKinnonValue card C010-123:514:180:0019:33231604304736.4412
Martin NecasValue card C020-124:524:180:0020:3423010330000.0100
Brock NelsonValue card C100-219:520:342:4116:372202030011664.7000
Valeri NichushkinValue card RW010-113:250:371:3611:1220010100000.0000
Logan O'ConnorValue card RW040-18:060:000:137:5314010010000.0000
Nicolas RoyValue card C040012:390:000:0012:39140301002166.7000

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Nick BlankenburgValue card D00007:540:000:007:5410010000000.0100
Brent BurnsValue card D010015:480:002:3113:1721000120000.0000
Brett KulakValue card D201-117:250:001:4615:3925000120000.0100
Cale MakarValue card D200-229:063:521:0524:0925040350000.0200
Sam MalinskiValue card D110-118:560:380:0018:1821010210000.0200
Devon ToewsValue card D001-122:341:031:5019:4125020110000.0012

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Mackenzie BlackwoodValue card G1130012.923111032:2700
Scott WedgewoodValue card G312009.75062124:2300

Minnesota Wild

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Matt BoldyValue card LW110221:033:112:3715:15231705001420.0100
Nick FolignoValue card LW160011:370:002:488:4917000000000.0100
Marcus FolignoValue card LW09009:010:000:009:0112020010000.0112
Ryan HartmanValue card RW210121:142:190:0018:5522130330101245.5112
Marcus JohanssonValue card LW020010:570:250:0010:3216030020000.0000
Kirill KaprizovValue card LW201323:273:110:0020:1622142460000.0200
Michael McCarronValue card C031113:300:002:5410:36220210006940.0200
Nico SturmValue card C02008:450:001:347:1116010100020.0000
Vladimir TarasenkoValue card RW120112:270:250:0012:0216021210000.0300
Yakov TreninValue card C130111:140:000:0011:1413000010010.0100
Danila YurovValue card RW010014:230:250:0013:58180101103350.0000
Mats ZuccarelloValue card RW010017:273:110:0014:1620022300010.0100

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Zach BogosianValue card D012013:180:001:0112:1719000110000.0100
Brock FaberValue card D212329:370:251:5227:2030142410000.0112
Quinn HughesValue card D101228:323:110:0025:2125141110000.0012
Daemon HuntValue card D120014:340:002:5611:3827000010000.0100
Jake MiddletonValue card D020014:260:002:0112:2524000000000.0000
Jared SpurgeonValue card D320117:360:251:5715:1425000110000.0100

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Jesper WallstedtValue card G1360035.972296059:5700

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd · 20:00Game End
  2. 3rd · 20:00End of 3rd Period
  3. 3rd · 19:56Jack Drury faceoff won against Nico Sturm
  4. 3rd · 19:56Matt Boldy Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (5)1–5
  5. 3rd · 19:51Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Brock Faber
  6. 3rd · 19:49Martin Necas shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
  7. 3rd · 19:46Artturi Lehkonen Snap Shot Wide Right
  8. 3rd · 19:45Martin Necas Slap Shot Wide Left
  9. 3rd · 19:39Nazem Kadri Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  10. 3rd · 19:37Martin Necas Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  11. 3rd · 19:32Cale Makar shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
  12. 3rd · 19:27Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd · 19:56Matt Boldy Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (5)1–5
  2. 2nd · 13:31Brock Faber Goal (4) Deflected, assists: Vladimir Tarasenko (2), Michael McCarron (2)1–4
  3. 2nd · 13:11Nathan MacKinnon Goal (5) Backhand, assists: Gabriel Landeskog (5), Nazem Kadri (4)1–3
  4. 2nd · 4:23Ryan Hartman Goal (3) Batted, assists: Mats Zuccarello (7), Kirill Kaprizov (10)0–3
  5. 1st · 16:44Quinn Hughes Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Mats Zuccarello (6), Kirill Kaprizov (9)0–2
  6. 1st · 15:11Kirill Kaprizov Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Brock Faber (4), Quinn Hughes (9)0–1

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