Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor12:00 AM ETHBO Max
Model pickCarolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes 3.7 · Philadelphia Flyers 2.4

74%confidence
Carolina Hurricanes59-29+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.7) · expected win rate 62% · last 10: 90%
Philadelphia Flyers47-43+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeXfinity Mobile ArenaHome adjustment: +1.7 rating pts

Pick goes to Carolina Hurricanes on the back of Carolina Hurricanes’s margin work and Carolina Hurricanes’s last-ten momentum. One power-play goal each side moves this projection by roughly half a goal.

Three things to watch

  • Form gap. Carolina Hurricanes is 90% over their recent sample; Philadelphia Flyers is 60%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
  • Net efficiency. Carolina Hurricanes projects 62% from points-for vs points-allowed; Philadelphia Flyers sits at 52%.

Players to Watch

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Injury Report

Philadelphia Flyers

Owen TippettDay-To-DayChristian DvorakDay-To-DayNoah CatesOutNikita GrebenkinOutRodrigo AbolsInjured Reserve

On The Ice

Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Recent Form

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Lvs PIT4-2
  • L@ PIT3-2
  • Wvs PIT1-0 OT
  • L@ CAR3-0
  • L@ CAR3-2 OT

Carolina Hurricanes

  • Wvs OTT3-2 2OT
  • W@ OTT2-1
  • W@ OTT4-2
  • Wvs PHI3-0
  • Wvs PHI3-2 OT

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