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MTL @ BUF

Joshua Silvia
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Final GameCast

Final score, key plays, top performers, and full tables stay one tap apart for quick review.

Final
Box ScorePlayer tables readyKey PlaysScoring swings readyGame ReadMatchup contextPlayersNames to watch

Top Performers

Key Plays

  • Go-ahead goal3-2Alex Newhook Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Alexandre Carrier (4)1st OT · 11:22
  • Late goal2-2Goalie Stopped1st OT · 11:08
  • Late goal2-2Goalie Stopped1st OT · 10:57
  • Go-ahead goal1-0Phillip Danault Goal (1) Deflected, assists: Kaiden Guhle (6), Alexandre Texier (4)1st · 4:30

Box Score

Top Performers

Fantasy Signals

Rasmus Dahlin 76
Buffalo Sabres · Defenses 1 G · 5 SOG · 33:11 TOI

Goal, shot volume, 20-plus minutes TOI.

Signal 76/100Value #186
Jakub Dobes 60
Montreal Canadiens · Goalies 71:22 TOI · 37 SV · 2 GA

20-plus minutes TOI, goalie save volume, goalie result support.

Signal 60/100Value #2455
Alex Newhook 44
Montreal Canadiens · Forwards 1 G · 2 SOG · 19:52 TOI

Goal.

Signal 44/100Value #674
Zack Bolduc 44
Montreal Canadiens · Forwards 1 G · 2 SOG · 9:11 TOI

Goal.

Signal 44/100Value #1438
Phillip Danault 44
Montreal Canadiens · Forwards 1 G · 2 SOG · 17:16 TOI

Goal.

Signal 44/100Value #4691
Jordan Greenway 44
Buffalo Sabres · Forwards 1 G · 2 SOG · 11:11 TOI

Goal.

Signal 44/100Value #4871
Final NotesScore, top line, and support lines
  • Final frame: Montreal Canadiens beat Buffalo Sabres 3-2.
  • Top line: Zack Bolduc (Montreal Canadiens) — 1 G.
  • Support line: Phillip Danault (Montreal Canadiens) — 1 G, 2 PIM.
  • Support line: Alex Newhook (Montreal Canadiens) — 1 G.
HighlightsScoring plays from the feed
  1. GoalAlex Newhook Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Alexandre Carrier (4)1st OT · 11:223–2
  2. GoalRasmus Dahlin Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Owen Power (6), Ryan McLeod (4)3rd · 6:272–2
  3. GoalJordan Greenway Goal (2) Deflected, assists: Mattias Samuelsson (4), Beck Malenstyn (2)2nd · 13:192–1
  4. GoalZachary Bolduc Goal (3) Snap Shot, assists: Nick Suzuki (9), Lane Hutson (12)1st · 14:292–0

Scoring by Period

TeamP1P2P3OTT
Montreal Canadiens20013
Buffalo Sabres01102
Team StatsMontreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres
Montreal Canadiens Stat Buffalo Sabres
1PPG0
2PIM2
32FO Won37
28Hits21
7Takeaways3
Montreal Canadiens player box 19 player rows – 3 stat groups – Forwards / Defenses / Goalies Show full tableHide table

Montreal Canadiens

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Josh AndersonValue card RW120017:100:000:3016:4025030330000.0200
Zack BolducValue card RW131-19:110:190:008:5214130210000.0000
Cole CaufieldValue card RW130021:161:350:0019:4126040510000.0100
Kirby DachValue card C140-18:580:200:008:3814040100000.0000
Phillip DanaultValue card C100-117:160:000:0017:1626110200141253.8112
Ivan DemidovValue card RW032122:191:360:0020:4326020040000.0100
Jake EvansValue card C010122:330:001:2621:07300200007750.0200
Oliver KapanenValue card C00004:450:000:004:4570001001233.3000
Alex NewhookValue card C030119:520:001:2918:2327170250030.0000
Juraj SlafkovskyValue card LW010023:071:490:0021:1826040310000.0000
Nick SuzukiValue card C220029:301:550:3626:5933041100101050.0100
Alexandre TexierValue card LW011017:510:000:0017:5124031010030.0200

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Alexandre CarrierValue card D510027:030:001:2225:4139011100000.0100
Noah DobsonValue card D100-126:300:000:2926:0136000110000.0100
Kaiden GuhleValue card D430022:520:000:3722:1531001100000.0100
Lane HutsonValue card D302-131:171:550:0029:2233021110000.0400
Mike MathesonValue card D201131:280:061:3129:5139010120000.0200
Arber XhekajValue card D01011:520:000:001:525010010000.0100

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Jakub DobesValue card G2390037.949361071:2200
Buffalo Sabres player box 19 player rows – 3 stat groups – Forwards / Defenses / Goalies Show full tableHide table

Buffalo Sabres

Forwards#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Forwards
Zach BensonValue card LW000-124:070:520:0023:1532050210000.0112
Josh DoanValue card RW110118:380:520:0017:4626030330000.0000
Jordan GreenwayValue card LW030111:110:000:2210:4916120200000.0200
Konsta HeleniusValue card C130-116:370:000:0016:37240203201109.1000
Peyton KrebsValue card C220111:130:070:0011:06160201006366.7000
Beck MalenstynValue card LW040110:420:010:579:4415011120000.0000
Ryan McLeodValue card C011120:390:440:3619:192801121011568.8100
Josh NorrisValue card C010-121:371:010:0020:363301013018869.2100
Jack QuinnValue card RW001-119:121:090:0018:0324020220000.0100
Tage ThompsonValue card C000-121:560:490:0021:0732050510050.0200
Alex TuchValue card RW221121:251:081:5518:222704054010100.0100
Jason ZuckerValue card LW130-116:391:070:0015:3225020020010.0200

Defenses#

PlayerBSHTTK+/-TOIPPTOISHTOIESTOISHFTGYTDGASSMSOGFWFLFO%GVPNPIM
Defense
Bowen ByramValue card D100-228:180:480:0027:3036040130000.0200
Rasmus DahlinValue card D210033:111:120:0031:5940140510000.0200
Zach MetsaValue card D00003:250:000:003:255010000000.0000
Owen PowerValue card D000128:470:101:3327:0434001100000.0000
Mattias SamuelssonValue card D200128:350:000:2228:1335031200000.0100
Conor TimminsValue card D000018:430:001:5516:4824000300000.0000

Goalies#

PlayerGASASOSSOSASVSV%ESSVPPSVSHSVTOIYTDGPIM
Goalies
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenValue card G3250022.880220071:2200

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Key Plays

Scoring and Swing Plays

Scoring, late-game swings, and high-leverage moments from the game feed.

  1. Go-ahead goal · 1st OT · 11:22Alex Newhook Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Alexandre Carrier (4)3–2
  2. Late goal · 1st OT · 11:08Goalie Stopped2–2
  3. Late goal · 1st OT · 10:57Goalie Stopped2–2
  4. Goal · 3rd · 14:55Goalie Stopped2–2
  5. Goal · 3rd · 13:44Puck Frozen – Goalie2–2
  6. Goal · 3rd · 11:57Goalie Stopped2–2
  7. Goal · 3rd · 10:01Goalie Stopped2–2
  8. Goal · 3rd · 9:44Puck Frozen – Goalie2–2
  9. Tied it · 3rd · 6:27Rasmus Dahlin Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Owen Power (6), Ryan McLeod (4)2–2
  10. Go-ahead goal · 1st · 4:30Phillip Danault Goal (1) Deflected, assists: Kaiden Guhle (6), Alexandre Texier (4)1–0

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameIndoor7:30 PM ETGoalies: Jakub Dobes vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Result readMontreal Canadiens

Montreal Canadiens 3 · Buffalo Sabres 2

Final
Montreal Canadiens57-40+0.4 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.5) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 60%
Buffalo Sabres57-38+0.5 net/g (schedule-adjusted +0.6) · expected win rate 58% · last 10: 50%
Home VenueKeyBank CenterHome adjustment: +1.7 rating points

Pick goes to Montreal Canadiens on the back of Buffalo Sabres’s margin work and Montreal Canadiens’s last-ten momentum. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Buffalo Sabres at 59%. Actual: Montreal Canadiens by 1.

Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

rafty-v2.0
Current lean Buffalo Sabres
50% Buffalo Sabres win probability 50%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

    Why This Pick?

    • Buffalo Sabres: Home venue+1.7
    • Montreal Canadiens: Team baseline-1.5
    Model check
    Live model: Buffalo Sabres 50%
    v3 candidate: Buffalo Sabres 56%
    Same pick; home probability +5.1 pp, confidence +5.1 pp
    • Buffalo Sabres: home pythag +0.13
    • Montreal Canadiens: away pythag -0.08
    • Buffalo Sabres: away rest hours capped +0.07
    Preview v3 controls
    Copies or saves the current sliders and toggles.
    Scenario presets

    For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

    Key Players to Watch

    Montreal Canadiens

    Buffalo Sabres

    Game Leaders

    Montreal CanadiensZack Bolduc1
    Buffalo SabresJordan Greenway1

    Injury Report

    Buffalo Sabres

    Justin DanforthInjured ReserveJiri KulichInjured ReserveNoah OstlundOut

    Montreal Canadiens

    Patrik LaineInjured Reserve
    On The Ice

    Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

    Montreal Canadiens
    JS J. Slafkovsky LW · #20 NS Nick Suzuki C · #14 CC Cole Caufield RW · #13 LH Lane Hutson LD · #48 ND Noah Dobson RD · #53 JD Jakub Dobes G · #75
    Buffalo Sabres
    ZB Zach Benson LW · #6 TT Tage Thompson C · #72 AT Alex Tuch RW · #89 RD Rasmus Dahlin LD · #26 BB Bowen Byram RD · #4 AL Alex Lyon G · #34

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