BOS @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor4:10 PM ET76°F · 15 mph wind · overcast⚾ Garrett Crochet vs Andrew AbbottMLB.TVWXIX FOX19Gray MediaReds.TV
Result readBoston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox 3 · Cincinnati Reds 0
Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Boston Red Sox on the back of Boston Red Sox’s margin work and Boston Red Sox’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 85%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 3.
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 85%. Actual: Boston Red Sox by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
Boston Red Sox
Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRafaela singled to center, Mayer scored.1–0
- ScoreDuran singled to right, Anthony scored, Story to third.3–0
- ScoreStory singled to left, Mayer scored, Anthony to second.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .750 | .800 | .750 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Jarren Duran LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .400 | .400 | .400 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .000 | .200 | .000 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Carlos Narvaez C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 80-52 | 0.00 | 80 |
| Justin Slaten RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17-10 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Garrett Whitlock RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-13 | 0.00 | 18 |
| Aroldis Chapman RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-6 | 0.00 | 11 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Matt McLain 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .750 | .750 | 1.250 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Spencer Steer LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Noelvi Marte RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Will Benson RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Dane Myers CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott SP· | 6.0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 83-59 | 0.00 | 83 |
| Pierce Johnson RP | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 27.00 | 9 |
| Sam Moll RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-6 | 0.00 | 6 |
| Graham Ashcraft RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14-7 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Connor Phillips RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 27.00 | 16 |
| Brock Burke RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 0.00 | 3 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningMcLain flied out to left.
- 7th InningStephenson walked.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningRafaela singled to center, Mayer scored.1–0
- 9th InningDuran singled to right, Anthony scored, Story to third.3–0
- 9th InningStory singled to left, Mayer scored, Anthony to second.2–0