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InTheRafters.com

MIN @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor3:05 PM ET75°F · 11 mph wind · overcast⚾ Joe Ryan vs Trevor RogersMLB.TVTwins.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Minnesota Twins 1 · Baltimore Orioles 2

Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Baltimore Orioles: Minnesota Twins’s scoring margin profile and Minnesota Twins’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 79%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Minnesota Twins

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILDean Kremer15-Day-IL

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAlexander singled to center, O'Neill scored.7th Inning0–2
  2. ScoreKeaschall hit sacrifice fly to left, Buxton scored.8th Inning1–2
  3. ScoreCowser hit sacrifice fly to left, Basallo scored, O'Neill to second.7th Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Minnesota Twins000000010151
Baltimore Orioles00000020—251

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Austin Martin LF·1-330100005.333.333.333
Kody Clemens 1B0-110000003.000.000.000
Byron Buxton CF·1-4411000113.250.250.750
Luke Keaschall 2B·1-3301100016.333.250.333
Ryan Jeffers C·1-4401000110.250.250.250
Matt Wallner RF·0-2200002120.000.500.000
Josh Bell 1B·0-3300001320.000.250.000
Victor Caratini C·1-3301001015.333.500.333
James Outman CF0-000000000.000.000.000
Royce Lewis 3B·0-220000006.000.333.000
Trevor Larnach LF0-110000014.000.000.000
Brooks Lee SS·0-330000029.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe Ryan SP·5.110027085-580.0085
Kody Funderburk RP0.211110017-913.5017
Justin Topa RP1.021100018-129.0018
Taylor Rogers RP1.010001010-90.0010

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·0-4400000016.000.000.000
Gunnar Henderson SS·0-4400000213.000.000.000
Pete Alonso 1B·0-3300001219.000.250.000
Adley Rutschman C·2-4402000013.500.500.750
Samuel Basallo C·1-4411000112.250.250.250
Tyler O'Neill RF·1-2211001014.500.667.500
Colton Cowser RF·0-2200100111.000.000.000
Coby Mayo 3B·0-2200001118.000.333.000
Blaze Alexander 3B·1-3301100114.333.333.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trevor Rogers SP·7.030045088-560.0088
Tyler Wells RP1.011101014-109.0014
Ryan Helsley RP1.010003019-130.0019

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningMayo struck out looking.
  2. 2nd InningO'Neill walked.
  3. 9th InningLarnach struck out swinging.
  4. 5th InningAlexander flied out to right.
  5. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Looking
  6. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningAlexander singled to center, O'Neill scored.0–2
  2. 8th InningKeaschall hit sacrifice fly to left, Buxton scored.1–2
  3. 7th InningCowser hit sacrifice fly to left, Basallo scored, O'Neill to second.0–1

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