Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Gavin Williams vs George KirbyApple TV
Result readSeattle Mariners

Cleveland Guardians 1 · Seattle Mariners 5

Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Seattle Mariners: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Cleveland Guardians’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cleveland Guardians at 58%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Seattle Mariners

Injury Report

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity

Cleveland Guardians

Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRaley homered to right (390 feet), Arozarena scored.6th Inning1–5
  2. ScoreYoung homered to right center (367 feet), Arozarena scored and Canzone scored.4th Inning1–3
  3. ScoreDeLauter homered to right center (360 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cleveland Guardians100000000140
Seattle Mariners00030200530

Cleveland Guardians

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Steven Kwan CF·2-4402000015.222.222.222
Chase DeLauter RF·1-4411110113.444.4441.444
Jose Ramirez 3B·0-4400000015.111.111.222
Kyle Manzardo 1B·0-4400000423.125.222.125
Bo Naylor C·1-3301001013.125.222.125
Rhys Hoskins 1B·0-3300001222.500.625.667
CJ Kayfus LF·0-3300001019.000.250.000
Gabriel Arias SS·0-330000028.143.143.143
Brayan Rocchio SS·0-2200000013.400.571.600

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Gavin Williams SP·5.023367189-495.4089
Colin Holderman RP1.012211127-1418.0027
Peyton Pallette RP2.000002021-140.0021

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brendan Donovan 3B·0-2200002117.333.5001.000
Cal Raleigh C·0-4400000427.000.125.000
Julio Rodriguez CF·0-3300001217.000.125.000
Josh Naylor 1B·0-440000006.000.000.000
Randy Arozarena LF·0-1120003014.200.500.400
Luke Raley RF·1-4411210115.250.2501.000
Dominic Canzone RF·0-2210001012.333.4291.333
Cole Young 2B·1-3311310113.167.167.667
Leo Rivas 3B·1-3301000116.200.333.600

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
George Kirby SP·6.021126190-571.5090
Eduard Bazardo RP1.000011017-110.0017
Matt Brash RP1.010000017-100.0017
Andres Munoz RP1.010002017-110.0017

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningNaylor walked.
  2. 9th InningHoskins struck out looking.
  3. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningRaley homered to right (390 feet), Arozarena scored.1–5
  2. 4th InningYoung homered to right center (367 feet), Arozarena scored and Canzone scored.1–3
  3. 1st InningDeLauter homered to right center (360 feet).1–0

Trending