KC @ ATL
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Kansas City Royals 0 · Atlanta Braves 6
Atlanta Braves gets the model’s nod thanks to Atlanta Braves’s margin advantage, with Kansas City Royals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 78%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBaldwin homered to right (370 feet).0–2
- ScoreAlbies homered to left (367 feet).0–1
- 🏃 DoubleDubón doubled to center, Olson scored and Riley scored, Dubón to third.0–6
- ScoreHarris II homered to right (372 feet), Heim scored.0–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .333 | .500 | .333 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Lane Thomas CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .333 | .500 | .333 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Starling Marte RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jac Caglianone RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jonathan India 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .000 | .250 | .000 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans SP· | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 90-52 | 9.00 | 90 |
| Bailey Falter RP | 3.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 48-29 | 6.00 | 48 |
| Alex Lange RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 0.00 | 11 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .250 | .400 | 1.000 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .500 | .500 | 1.250 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .500 | .500 | .750 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Eli White CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .250 | .250 | .500 |
| Jonah Heim C· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .000 | .500 | .000 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .250 | .250 | 1.000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 88-54 | 0.00 | 88 |
| Dylan Lee RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Robert Suarez RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-11 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Tyler Kinley RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 2nd InningHarris II struck out swinging.
- 9th InningCaglianone struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningBaldwin homered to right (370 feet).0–2
- 1st InningAlbies homered to left (367 feet).0–1
- 7th InningDubón doubled to center, Olson scored and Riley scored, Dubón to third.0–6
- 4th InningHarris II homered to right (372 feet), Heim scored.0–4