BOS @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Boston Red Sox 2 · Cincinnati Reds 3
Two reasons the projection lands on Cincinnati Reds: Boston Red Sox’s scoring margin profile and Boston Red Sox’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 87%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Boston Red Sox
- Brayan Bello SP · #66
- Connelly Early SP · #71
- Trevor Story SS · #10
- Willson Contreras 1B · #40
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAbreu homered to right center (385 feet), Contreras scored.2–0
- ScoreSuárez homered to left center (431 feet), McLain scored and Stewart scored.2–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Boston Red Sox
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .308 | .438 | .308 |
| Trevor Story SS· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .125 | .125 | .313 |
| Jarren Duran LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | .200 | .429 | .200 |
| Willson Contreras 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .111 | .429 | .111 |
| Wilyer Abreu RF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .462 | .462 | 1.077 |
| Caleb Durbin 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .000 | .077 | .000 |
| Masataka Yoshida LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | .000 | .600 | .000 |
| Marcelo Mayer 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .333 | .333 | .556 |
| Andruw Monasterio SS | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Connor Wong C· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .500 | .500 | .750 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .300 | .300 | .300 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connelly Early SP· | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 96-61 | 1.69 | 96 |
| Greg Weissert RP | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15-10 | 16.20 | 15 |
| Jovani Moran RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25-16 | 0.00 | 25 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .143 | .143 | .143 |
| Matt McLain 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .400 | .571 | .500 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | .167 | .286 | .417 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .700 | .769 | 1.300 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .167 | .231 | .417 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Spencer Steer LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .091 | .231 | .091 |
| Dane Myers CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .400 | .400 | .400 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .000 | .143 | .000 |
| Noelvi Marte RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhett Lowder SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 86-56 | 3.60 | 86 |
| Brock Burke RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27-15 | 0.00 | 27 |
| Pierce Johnson RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-9 | 5.40 | 13 |
| Tony Santillan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27-14 | 0.00 | 27 |
| Emilio Pagan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-6 | 3.86 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningContreras walked.
- 4th InningAbreu homered to right center (385 feet), Contreras scored.2–0
- 3rd InningDe La Cruz struck out looking.
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningAbreu homered to right center (385 feet), Contreras scored.2–0
- 6th InningSuárez homered to left center (431 feet), McLain scored and Stewart scored.2–3