COL @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Jose Quintana vs Max MeyerMLB.TVRockies.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Colorado Rockies 3 · Miami Marlins 4
Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of Miami Marlins’s margin work and Miami Marlins’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 74%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 1.
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 74%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Colorado Rockies
- Michael Lorenzen SP · #24
- Tomoyuki Sugano SP · #11
- Jimmy Herget RP · #44
- Brennan Bernardino RP · #83
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
Colorado Rockies
Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleLopez doubled to right, Marsee scored.3–1
- ScoreSlater hit sacrifice fly to right, Edwards scored, De Los Santos to third.3–2
- ScoreCaissie homered to right center (394 feet), Sanoja scored.3–4
- 💣 Home RunBeck doubled to left, Goodman scored, Rumfield scored, and Castro scored, Beck safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Lopez.3–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Miami Marlins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Colorado Rockies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .091 | .167 | .091 |
| Hunter Goodman C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Willi Castro 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .182 | .250 | .273 |
| Ezequiel Tovar SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .250 | .250 | .500 |
| TJ Rumfield 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .222 | .364 | .556 |
| Braxton Fulford C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jordan Beck LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .286 | .375 | .429 |
| Brenton Doyle CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .000 | .083 | .000 |
| Brett Sullivan C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Ryan Ritter 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Troy Johnston RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Kyle Karros 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .300 | .300 | .400 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana SP· | 4.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 78-42 | 4.15 | 78 |
| Jimmy Herget RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8-6 | 0.00 | 8 |
| Antonio Senzatela RP | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 43-27 | 0.00 | 43 |
| Victor Vodnik RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11-9 | 18.00 | 11 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Owen Caissie RF | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Agustin Ramirez C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .250 | .500 | .250 |
| Griffin Conine LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | .091 | .167 | .182 |
| Otto Lopez SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .273 | .333 | .364 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .250 | .500 | .375 |
| Heriberto Hernandez LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .000 | .125 | .000 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .364 | .364 | .364 |
| Deyvison De Los Santos 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Liam Hicks C | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .250 | .333 | 1.000 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .714 | .714 | .857 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 81-57 | 5.40 | 81 |
| Tyler Phillips RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22-14 | 0.00 | 22 |
| John King RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-9 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Michael Petersen RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-9 | 0.00 | 11 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 2nd InningDe Los Santos doubled to center, Edwards to third.
- 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningCaissie grounded out to second.
- 2nd InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningJohnston struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningLopez doubled to right, Marsee scored.3–1
- 2nd InningSlater hit sacrifice fly to right, Edwards scored, De Los Santos to third.3–2
- 9th InningCaissie homered to right center (394 feet), Sanoja scored.3–4
- 1st InningBeck doubled to left, Goodman scored, Rumfield scored, and Castro scored, Beck safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Lopez.3–0