Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

TEX @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET56°F · 12 mph wind · overcast⚾ MacKenzie Gore vs Jesus LuzardoMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 8 · Philadelphia Phillies 3

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Texas Rangers: Texas Rangers’s scoring margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 59%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGarcía hit sacrifice fly to left, Turner scored.6th Inning6–2
  2. ScoreMcCutchen homered to left (347 feet), Seager scored and Burger scored.4th Inning5–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleDuran doubled to left, Carter scored.7th Inning7–2
  4. ScoreSeager hit sacrifice fly to center, Duran scored, Langford to second.7th Inning8–2
  5. ScoreHigashioka singled to right, McCutchen scored.6th Inning6–0
  6. ScoreStott singled to left, Harper scored, Bohm to third.8th Inning8–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers002301200880
Philadelphia Phillies000002010340

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·2-4412210020.333.429.583
Wyatt Langford LF·0-5500000117.071.071.071
Corey Seager SS·0-3310101122.364.429.636
Jake Burger 1B·1-4411000315.462.462.923
Andrew McCutchen LF·2-4422310118.444.4441.000
Kyle Higashioka C·1-4401100012.400.400.400
Josh Jung 3B·0-4400000321.000.000.000
Sam Haggerty LF·1-221100007.250.250.250
Evan Carter CF0-0010002012.167.375.167
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-4411100117.200.200.400

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
MacKenzie Gore SP·5.122237090-543.3890
Cole Winn RP0.200000011-70.0011
Carter Baumler RP1.211142043-223.3843
Chris Martin RP0.10000003-10.003
Robert Garcia RP1.000011014-80.0014

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·0-4410001122.154.214.154
Kyle Schwarber LF·1-4401000117.154.154.385
Bryce Harper 1B·0-2210002119.091.231.091
Alec Bohm 3B·0-2200101015.200.385.500
Adolis Garcia RF·0-3300100218.091.083.182
Edmundo Sosa 2B·0-220000018.000.333.000
Bryson Stott 2B1-220110004.375.444.375
J.T. Realmuto C·0-2200002016.111.333.111
Otto Kemp LF·0-2200000111.000.333.000
Brandon Marsh LF0-1100001112.333.400.556
Justin Crawford CF·1-3311000214.333.400.333
Dylan Moore CF0-000000105.0001.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jesus Luzardo SP·6.066617299-599.0099
Zach Pop RP1.012211025-149.0025
Brad Keller RP1.000001016-110.0016
Kyle Backhus RP1.010011021-1420.2521

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningGarcía hit sacrifice fly to left, Turner scored.6–2
  2. 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningCarter walked.
  4. 7th InningCarter walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningGarcía hit sacrifice fly to left, Turner scored.6–2
  2. 4th InningMcCutchen homered to left (347 feet), Seager scored and Burger scored.5–0
  3. 7th InningDuran doubled to left, Carter scored.7–2
  4. 7th InningSeager hit sacrifice fly to center, Duran scored, Langford to second.8–2
  5. 6th InningHigashioka singled to right, McCutchen scored.6–0
  6. 8th InningStott singled to left, Harper scored, Bohm to third.8–3
  7. 6th InningBohm hit by pitch, Crawford scored, Schwarber to second, Turner to third.6–1
  8. 3rd InningNimmo homered to center (410 feet), Haggerty scored.2–0

Trending