MIN @ KC
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor3:10 PM CT⚾ Simeon Woods Richardson vs Kris BubicESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVRoyals.TVTwins.TV
Result readKansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins 1 · Kansas City Royals 3
Final
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Minnesota Twins on the margin numbers, Kansas City Royals on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 61%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 61%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Minnesota Twins
- Bailey Ober SP · #17
- Joe Ryan SP · #41
- Josh Bell 1B · #56
- Luke Keaschall 2B · #15
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Injury Report
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
Minnesota Twins
Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreWallner homered to right center (424 feet).1–0
- ScoreIsbel homered to right (403 feet), India scored.1–2
- ScoreCollins homered to left (400 feet).1–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Minnesota Twins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Martin LF· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .400 | .571 | .400 |
| Trevor Larnach LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .429 | .500 |
| James Outman CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
| Byron Buxton CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .250 | .294 | .438 |
| Luke Keaschall 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .143 | .235 | .143 |
| Ryan Jeffers C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .182 | .250 | .182 |
| Matt Wallner RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .143 | .294 | .357 |
| Josh Bell 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .167 | .313 | .333 |
| Victor Caratini C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .273 | .333 | .273 |
| Royce Lewis 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | .167 | .286 | .667 |
| Brooks Lee SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .111 | .111 | .111 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 83-45 | 3.60 | 83 |
| Kody Funderburk RP | 1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 26-15 | 6.75 | 26 |
| Justin Topa RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-6 | 3.38 | 10 |
| Taylor Rogers RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-8 | 0.00 | 14 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .286 | .412 | .357 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .267 | .313 | .267 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .154 | .313 | .154 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .188 | .188 | .375 |
| Carter Jensen C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .091 | .154 | .364 |
| Lane Thomas CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .111 | .200 | .111 |
| Jonathan India 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .100 | .182 | .100 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .200 | .273 | .300 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .111 | .200 | .444 |
| Kyle Isbel CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .400 | .400 | .700 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic SP· | 6.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 75-48 | 1.50 | 75 |
| Daniel Lynch IV RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-8 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Nick Mears RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-6 | 0.00 | 8 |
| John Schreiber RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 4.50 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningGarcia struck out swinging, Isbel stole second.
- 8th InningPasquantino struck out looking.
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningWallner homered to right center (424 feet).1–0
- 2nd InningIsbel homered to right (403 feet), India scored.1–2
- 7th InningCollins homered to left (400 feet).1–3