NYY @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Ryan Weathers vs Luis CastilloMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
New York Yankees 1 · Seattle Mariners 2
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Seattle Mariners is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 93%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 93%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRosario hit sacrifice fly to center, Rice scored.1–1
- ScoreRaleigh singled to right, Rivas scored, Donovan to second.1–2
- ScoreYoung singled to right, Arozarena scored, Garver to third.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .154 | .267 | .308 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .188 | .235 | .563 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .267 | .353 | .400 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .250 | .308 | .333 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .500 | .500 | .750 |
| Randal Grichuk LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .200 | .250 | .267 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .100 | .250 | .100 |
| Amed Rosario 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Austin Wells C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .154 | .214 | .154 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .286 | .333 | .286 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers SP· | 4.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 77-49 | 2.08 | 77 |
| Fernando Cruz RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-6 | 0.00 | 11 |
| Jake Bird RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 0.00 | 14 |
| Brent Headrick RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-11 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Camilo Doval RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0.00 | 2 |
| Paul Blackburn RP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22-12 | 6.75 | 22 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .444 | .565 | .833 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Dominic Canzone RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .273 | .385 | .909 |
| Cal Raleigh C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .176 | .300 | .235 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .053 | .182 | .053 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .000 | .136 | .000 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .294 | .455 | .412 |
| Mitch Garver C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .000 | .500 | .000 |
| Victor Robles RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .286 | .286 | .429 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .235 | .316 | .353 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .333 | .368 | .611 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 95-58 | 0.00 | 95 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-10 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 3.86 | 6 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-10 | 7.71 | 16 |
| Matt Brash RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 0.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 2nd InningGarver walked, Arozarena to second.
- 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
- 8th InningCaballero struck out looking.
- 5th InningCanzone struck out swinging.
- 5th InningCaballero reached on infield single to pitcher.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningRosario hit sacrifice fly to center, Rice scored.1–1
- 9th InningRaleigh singled to right, Rivas scored, Donovan to second.1–2
- 2nd InningYoung singled to right, Arozarena scored, Garver to third.0–1