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In The Rafters

TB @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Nick Martinez vs Kyle HarrisonMLB.TVBrewers.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays 3 · Milwaukee Brewers 2

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Tampa Bay Rays gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Tampa Bay Rays’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 63%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreDeLuca homered to left center (438 feet).7th Inning2–2
  2. ScoreDíaz homered to left (362 feet).1st Inning1–0
  3. 🏃 DoubleFortes doubled to center, DeLuca scored.9th Inning3–2
  4. ScoreContreras homered to center (415 feet), Turang scored.6th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays100000101371
Milwaukee Brewers000002000260

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz 1B·2-4412110120.550.571.750
Ryan Vilade RF·0-3300000312.000.000.000
Cedric Mullins CF0-110000015.067.063.133
Jonathan Aranda 1B·0-3300001116.375.476.625
Junior Caminero 3B·2-4402000019.286.474.286
Ben Williamson 2B·0-4400000214.385.385.385
Jonny DeLuca RF·1-3321111220.417.462.750
Nick Fortes C·1-4401100112.417.462.500
Chandler Simpson LF·1-440100019.400.438.400
Carson Williams SS·0-3300000214.200.250.267

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nick Martinez SP·6.062203188-593.0088
Griffin Jax RP1.000001015-99.0015
Garrett Cleavinger RP1.000022016-97.7116
Ian Seymour RP0.20000108-667.508
Kevin Kelly RP0.10000005-30.005

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·1-3311001114.412.474.647
William Contreras C·2-441221008.267.421.600
Christian Yelich LF·0-4400000217.429.467.643
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-3301001010.222.364.222
Jake Bauers 1B·1-330100009.267.267.467
Gary Sanchez C0-110000013.400.4001.000
Sal Frelick RF·0-3300000011.154.389.462
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-4400000318.222.417.222
David Hamilton 3B·0-4400000018.125.417.125
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-3301000019.364.417.364
Blake Perkins LF0-110000005.200.333.400

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Harrison SP·5.041118187-641.8087
Aaron Ashby RP2.021103124-151.9324
Angel Zerpa RP1.000002010-70.0010
Trevor Megill RP1.011111020-124.5020

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningLockridge reached on infield single to pitcher.
  2. 2nd InningDíaz singled to right, Williams to third.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  4. 3rd InningHamilton grounded out to first.
  5. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningDeLuca homered to left center (438 feet).2–2
  2. 1st InningDíaz homered to left (362 feet).1–0
  3. 9th InningFortes doubled to center, DeLuca scored.3–2
  4. 6th InningContreras homered to center (415 feet), Turang scored.1–2

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