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In The Rafters

WSH @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Foster Griffin vs Taijuan WalkerMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 13 · Philadelphia Phillies 2

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Washington Nationals gets the model’s nod thanks to Washington Nationals’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 62%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWood walked, Tena scored, Wiemer to second, Vivas to third.9th Inning10–2
  2. ScoreTena singled to right, Lile scored.6th Inning8–2
  3. ScoreGarcía Jr. singled to right, Vivas and Wiemer scored, Wood to second.9th Inning12–2
  4. ScoreHouse grounded into fielder's choice to third, Wiemer scored, García Jr. out at second.3rd Inning7–0
  5. ScoreTena scored, Vivas caught stealing second, catcher to second to first.6th Inning9–2
  6. ScoreMillas grounded into fielder's choice to first, House scored, Abrams to second, Lile to third.2nd Inning5–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals41200200413171
Philadelphia Phillies000020000272

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-4421102230.118.250.353
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·2-6612300023.286.286.357
Brady House 3B·2-6612100222.316.350.474
Daylen Lile LF·2-6622200014.333.400.444
CJ Abrams SS·2-6612100019.231.286.231
Drew Millas C·1-4401101126.143.333.143
Jose Tena 2B·3-5523200117.429.429.429
Jorbit Vivas 3B·2-3322101013.333.375.333
Joey Wiemer RF·2-4422001021.800.8461.600

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Foster Griffin SP·5.052205186-553.6086
Brad Lord RP3.010013051-351.6951
Cole Henry RP1.010011018-90.0018

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·1-5501000227.167.211.222
Kyle Schwarber LF·0-3300001223.125.222.313
Bryce Harper 1B·0-5500000119.063.167.063
Alec Bohm 3B·0-4400000113.143.294.357
Adolis Garcia RF·2-4402000015.200.188.333
Edmundo Sosa 2B·0-4400000111.000.143.000
Otto Kemp LF·1-4401000218.167.286.167
Brandon Marsh LF·2-3312001018.417.500.583
Rafael Marchan C·1-3311210011.333.5001.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Taijuan Walker SP·4.2107632099-6311.5799
Jonathan Bowlan RP1.132201026-167.7126
Tim Mayza RP2.000002023-180.0023
Jose Alvarado RP0.134421029-1827.0029
Dylan Moore CF0.21000008-50.008

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningWiemer walked.
  2. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 9th InningSchwarber walked.
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningWood walked, Tena scored, Wiemer to second, Vivas to third.10–2
  2. 6th InningTena singled to right, Lile scored.8–2
  3. 9th InningGarcía Jr. singled to right, Vivas and Wiemer scored, Wood to second.12–2
  4. 3rd InningHouse grounded into fielder's choice to third, Wiemer scored, García Jr. out at second.7–0
  5. 6th InningTena scored, Vivas caught stealing second, catcher to second to first.9–2
  6. 2nd InningMillas grounded into fielder's choice to first, House scored, Abrams to second, Lile to third.5–0
  7. 9th InningLile grounded into fielder's choice to second, Wood scored, House out at second, García Jr. to third.13–2
  8. 6th InningTena scored, Vivas caught stealing second, catcher to second to first.9–2
  9. 3rd InningGarcía Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to second, Vivas scored, Wood out at second, Wiemer to third.6–0
  10. 1st InningTena singled to center, Lile scored, Millas to second, Abrams to third.3–0
  11. 1st InningAbrams singled to left, García Jr. scored, Lile to second.2–0
  12. 5th InningMarchán homered to left center (378 feet), Marsh scored.7–2
  13. 1st InningVivas hit sacrifice fly to center, Abrams scored.4–0
  14. 1st InningLile grounded into fielder's choice to second, Wood scored, García Jr. third.1–0

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