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InTheRafters.com

CHW @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Erick Fedde vs Janson JunkMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins

Chicago White Sox 2 · Miami Marlins 9

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of Miami Marlins’s margin work and Chicago White Sox’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 67%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreConine homered to right center (405 feet), Lopez scored.8th Inning2–9
  2. 💣 Home RunCaissie singled to center, Hicks scored on error, Caissie safe at second on throwing error by center fielder Acuña.4th Inning2–3
  3. ScoreCaissie hit sacrifice fly to left, Hicks scored, Lopez to second.8th Inning2–7
  4. 💣 Home RunHernández singled to center, Caissie scored on error, Hernández safe at second on throwing error by center fielder Acuña.4th Inning2–4
  5. 🏃 DoubleHicks doubled to right, Edwards scored and Ramírez scored.4th Inning2–2
  6. ScoreMurakami singled to center, Quero scored, Acuña to third.3rd Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox002000000253
Miami Marlins00040023—990

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4400000216.214.353.500
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-4401100218.278.409.778
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-4401100213.273.333.273
Colson Montgomery SS·0-4400000221.222.300.389
Miguel Vargas 3B·1-4401000216.294.350.529
Austin Hays LF·0-4400000114.158.158.368
Tristan Peters CF·0-3300001222.333.429.417
Edgar Quero C·1-2211001018.077.143.077
Luisangel Acuna CF·1-3311000014.167.286.167

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Erick Fedde SP·5.064314080-505.4080
Bryan Hudson RP1.212111025-157.7125
Jedixson Paez SP1.123310128-1318.0028

Miami Marlins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee CF·0-3300100012.158.190.316
Xavier Edwards 2B·2-4412000014.421.450.474
Agustin Ramirez C·1-4411000116.188.350.250
Liam Hicks C·1-3321201014.364.4291.000
Otto Lopez SS·1-4411000119.278.350.333
Owen Caissie RF·1-2211201118.400.444.733
Heriberto Hernandez LF·1-3311101013.091.286.091
Griffin Conine LF·2-4422210114.400.455.800
Graham Pauley 3B·0-3300100113.111.111.111

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Janson Junk SP·4.152215079-504.1579
Andrew Nardi RP1.000002014-100.0014
Anthony Bender RP1.200011027-160.0027
Calvin Faucher RP1.000002017-100.0017
Pete Fairbanks RP1.000003015-100.0015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningPeters walked.
  2. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  3. 9th InningVargas struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningConine homered to right center (405 feet), Lopez scored.2–9
  2. 4th InningCaissie singled to center, Hicks scored on error, Caissie safe at second on throwing error by center fielder Acuña.2–3
  3. 8th InningCaissie hit sacrifice fly to left, Hicks scored, Lopez to second.2–7
  4. 4th InningHernández singled to center, Caissie scored on error, Hernández safe at second on throwing error by center fielder Acuña.2–4
  5. 4th InningHicks doubled to right, Edwards scored and Ramírez scored.2–2
  6. 3rd InningMurakami singled to center, Quero scored, Acuña to third.1–0
  7. 7th InningMarsee hit sacrifice fly to right, Conine scored.2–6
  8. 7th InningPauley hit sacrifice bunt, Hernández scored on error, Conine to second, Conine safe at third on fielding error by catcher Quero.2–5
  9. 3rd InningBenintendi singled to right, Acuña scored, Murakami to second.2–0

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