NYY @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Max Fried vs Logan GilbertMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readNew York Yankees
New York Yankees 5 · Seattle Mariners 0
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 91%. Actual: New York Yankees by 5.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 91%. Actual: New York Yankees by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreChisholm Jr. singled to right, Rice scored, Stanton to third.5–0
- 🏃 DoubleStanton doubled to left, Bellinger scored, Rice to third.4–0
- 💣 Home RunGrisham scored on throwing error by catcher Raleigh, Bellinger stole second, Bellinger to third on error.3–0
- 🏃 DoubleRice doubled to right, Bellinger scored.1–0
- 💣 Home RunGrisham scored on throwing error by catcher Raleigh, Bellinger stole third.3–0
- ScoreStanton singled to right, Rice scored.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .235 | .316 | .412 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .150 | .190 | .450 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .333 | .429 | .444 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .357 | .471 | .500 |
| Giancarlo Stanton DH· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .500 | .500 | .750 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .211 | .250 | .263 |
| J.C. Escarra C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .222 | .263 | .222 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .071 | .188 | .071 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried SP· | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 90-60 | 0.00 | 90 |
| Brent Headrick RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-8 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Tim Hill RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-6 | 0.00 | 7 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .143 | .250 | .190 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .091 | .231 | .091 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .043 | .154 | .043 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .250 | .423 | .350 |
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .429 | .538 | .762 |
| Victor Robles RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .200 | .200 | .300 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .200 | .273 | .300 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .333 | .364 | .571 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 5.1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 95-54 | 6.75 | 95 |
| Cole Wilcox RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 31-22 | 0.00 | 31 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-11 | 0.00 | 18 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningRice walked.
- 1st InningChisholm Jr. struck out swinging.
- 6th InningRice walked.
- 6th InningJudge struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningChisholm Jr. singled to right, Rice scored, Stanton to third.5–0
- 6th InningStanton doubled to left, Bellinger scored, Rice to third.4–0
- 6th InningGrisham scored on throwing error by catcher Raleigh, Bellinger stole second, Bellinger to third on error.3–0
- 1st InningRice doubled to right, Bellinger scored.1–0
- 6th InningGrisham scored on throwing error by catcher Raleigh, Bellinger stole third.3–0
- 1st InningStanton singled to right, Rice scored.2–0