SF @ SD
Petco Park · San Diego, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Logan Webb vs German MarquezMLB.TVPadres.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants 9 · San Diego Padres 3
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
San Diego Padres24-16+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgePetco ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
San Francisco Giants gets the model’s nod thanks to San Diego Padres’s margin advantage, with San Diego Padres’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 79%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 6.
Pre-game pick: San Diego Padres at 79%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
San Diego Padres
- Yu Darvish SP · #11
- German Marquez SP · #33
- Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · #23
- Jackson Merrill CF · #3
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth7-day ilGerman Marquez15-Day-ILBlake HuntDay-To-DayJhony Brito60-Day-ILLuis Campusano10-Day-IL
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBogaerts grounded out to shortstop, Machado scored, Merrill to second.4–2
- ScoreLee singled to left, Oliva scored.9–3
- ScoreChapman homered to left (349 feet).4–0
- ScoreRamos singled to right, Adames scored and Bailey scored, Devers to third.7–3
- 🏃 DoubleLee doubled to right, Chapman scored and Ramos scored.3–0
- ScoreMerrill singled to right, Tatis Jr. scored, Machado to third.4–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .300 | .300 | .500 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | .263 | .333 | .316 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .222 | .300 | .278 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .211 | .238 | .211 |
| Jared Oliva CF | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Christian Koss 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .222 | .333 | .389 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .222 | .300 | .389 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .158 | .158 | .368 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .125 | .222 | .125 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .188 | .278 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 104-61 | 7.36 | 104 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28-21 | 0.00 | 28 |
| Jose Butto RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-11 | 5.40 | 18 |
San Diego Padres
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .167 | .250 | .167 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .235 | .350 | .294 |
| Manny Machado 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .200 | .400 | .267 |
| Jackson Merrill CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .222 | .300 | .444 |
| Xander Bogaerts SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .200 | .200 | .250 |
| Miguel Andujar 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .167 | .231 | .167 |
| Gavin Sheets 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .071 | .071 | .071 |
| Nick Castellanos RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .167 | .231 | .250 |
| Freddy Fermin C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .100 | .182 | .100 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| German Marquez SP· | 3.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 65-41 | 12.00 | 65 |
| Kyle Hart RP | 2.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 42-25 | 8.31 | 42 |
| Bradgley Rodriguez RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-14 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Jeremiah Estrada RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-12 | 21.60 | 18 |
| David Morgan RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningFermin struck out swinging.
- 6th InningBogaerts grounded out to third.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningBogaerts grounded out to shortstop, Machado scored, Merrill to second.4–2
- 9th InningLee singled to left, Oliva scored.9–3
- 3rd InningChapman homered to left (349 feet).4–0
- 6th InningRamos singled to right, Adames scored and Bailey scored, Devers to third.7–3
- 1st InningLee doubled to right, Chapman scored and Ramos scored.3–0
- 3rd InningMerrill singled to right, Tatis Jr. scored, Machado to third.4–1
- 1st InningAdames homered to left (338 feet).1–0
- 6th InningArraez hit sacrifice fly to center, Devers scored.8–3
- 6th InningAdames singled to center, Bader scored, Bailey to second.5–3
- 3rd InningAndujar singled to right, Merrill scored.4–3