WSH @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET72°F · 13 mph wind · overcast⚾ PJ Poulin vs Andrew PainterMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals 2 · Philadelphia Phillies 3
Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Philadelphia Phillies: Washington Nationals’s scoring margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 61%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 61%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleWood doubled to first, Nuñez scored.2–3
- 💣 Home RunLile singled to right, Abrams scored on throwing error by right fielder García, Lile to second.1–3
- ScoreCrawford scored, Harper safe at first on fielding error by first baseman García Jr., Schwarber to second, Turner to third.0–3
- ScoreSchwarber homered to right center (397 feet).0–1
- ScoreGarcía homered to right (349 feet).0–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | .136 | .240 | .364 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .222 | .222 | .278 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .235 | .278 | .235 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .409 | .458 | .545 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .375 | .400 | .375 |
| Curtis Mead 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .000 | .500 | .000 |
| Jacob Young CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .182 | .545 |
| Brady House 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .316 | .350 | .474 |
| Keibert Ruiz C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .182 | .167 | .455 |
| Jose Tena 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .273 | .273 | .273 |
| Joey Wiemer RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .615 | .706 | 1.231 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .308 | .400 | .308 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Poulin RP· | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-7 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Zack Littell SP | 5.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 75-53 | 5.40 | 75 |
| Ken Waldichuk RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23-15 | 5.40 | 23 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .182 | .217 | .227 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .158 | .273 | .474 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .100 | .182 | .100 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .118 | .286 | .294 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .308 | .250 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .278 | .263 | .556 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .400 | .471 | .533 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .083 | .267 | .083 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .333 | .385 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Painter SP· | 5.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 84-57 | 1.69 | 84 |
| Tanner Banks RP | 1.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 37-26 | 3.38 | 37 |
| Brad Keller RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Jhoan Duran RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-12 | 3.38 | 20 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningWood lined out to left.
- 7th InningWood doubled to first, Nuñez scored.2–3
- 4th InningVivas struck out looking.
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
- 8th InningHarper reached on infield single to third.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningWood doubled to first, Nuñez scored.2–3
- 6th InningLile singled to right, Abrams scored on throwing error by right fielder García, Lile to second.1–3
- 5th InningCrawford scored, Harper safe at first on fielding error by first baseman García Jr., Schwarber to second, Turner to third.0–3
- 3rd InningSchwarber homered to right center (397 feet).0–1
- 4th InningGarcía homered to right (349 feet).0–2