NYM @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor12:15 PM CT62°F · 7 mph wind · overcast⚾ Freddy Peralta vs Matthew LiberatoreMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets 1 · St. Louis Cardinals 2
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals’s scoring margin profile and St. Louis Cardinals’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreGorman singled to center, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.1–1
- ScoreSoto homered to right (344 feet).1–0
- ScoreWinn reached on infield single to second, Wetherholt scored.1–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .143 | .379 | .333 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .346 | .414 | .538 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .111 | .138 | .111 |
| Jorge Polanco 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .211 | .375 | .316 |
| Jared Young 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .222 | .300 | .333 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .316 | .458 | .474 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .400 | .400 | .600 |
| Brett Baty RF | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .217 | .217 | .304 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .100 | .240 | .150 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .231 | .375 | .538 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Carson Benge LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .158 | .238 | .316 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta SP· | 5.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 92-54 | 4.35 | 92 |
| Huascar Brazoban RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Brooks Raley RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 0.00 | 11 |
| Devin Williams RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18-9 | 0.00 | 18 |
| Tobias Myers RP | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20-13 | 1.50 | 20 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .280 | .321 | .400 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .182 | .296 | .273 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .273 | .370 | .455 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .160 | .222 | .240 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .238 | .273 | .524 |
| Thomas Saggese LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .143 | .250 | .143 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .167 | .167 | .167 |
| Jordan Walker RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | .263 | .364 | .526 |
| Pedro Pages C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .200 | .200 | .400 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .350 | .350 | .400 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 76-47 | 1.64 | 76 |
| Ryne Stanek RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-9 | 2.25 | 16 |
| JoJo Romero RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-13 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Riley O'Brien RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-12 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-6 | 5.40 | 12 |
| Chris Roycroft RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11-2 | 16.20 | 11 |
| Gordon Graceffo RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-3 | 0.00 | 6 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningWalker struck out looking.
- 7th InningBenge struck out swinging.
- 1st InningBichette flied out to right.
- 7th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Looking
- 7th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 1st InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningGorman singled to center, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.1–1
- 6th InningSoto homered to right (344 feet).1–0
- 11th InningWinn reached on infield single to second, Wetherholt scored.1–2