NYY @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Cam Schlittler vs George KirbyMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readNew York Yankees
New York Yankees 5 · Seattle Mariners 3
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
New York Yankees gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 92%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 92%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleRice doubled to right, Bellinger scored.1–0
- ScoreRaleigh singled to right, Canzone scored and Young scored, Donovan to third.4–2
- ScoreRice homered to right center (427 feet).5–2
- ScoreCanzone singled to right, Arozarena scored.5–3
- ScoreGoldschmidt homered to left center (406 feet), Grisham scored and Rice scored.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .200 | .304 | .350 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .125 | .160 | .375 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .286 | .400 | .381 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .412 | .524 | .765 |
| Paul Goldschmidt 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .222 | .222 | .667 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .217 | .250 | .261 |
| Amed Rosario 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .167 | .143 | .167 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .067 | .176 | .067 |
| Austin Wells C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .188 | .235 | .188 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .190 | .227 | .190 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler SP· | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 79-58 | 0.00 | 79 |
| Fernando Cruz RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Camilo Doval RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-12 | 6.00 | 19 |
| David Bednar RP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40-27 | 2.70 | 40 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .417 | .533 | .750 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .160 | .250 | .200 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .077 | .200 | .077 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .037 | .133 | .037 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .250 | .400 | .375 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .278 | .316 | .778 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .333 | .412 | .800 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .320 | .346 | .520 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .174 | .240 | .261 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 89-57 | 3.75 | 89 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-9 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30-19 | 3.00 | 30 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningYoung flied out to right.
- 9th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
- 9th InningChisholm Jr. struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningRice doubled to right, Bellinger scored.1–0
- 8th InningRaleigh singled to right, Canzone scored and Young scored, Donovan to third.4–2
- 9th InningRice homered to right center (427 feet).5–2
- 9th InningCanzone singled to right, Arozarena scored.5–3
- 6th InningGoldschmidt homered to left center (406 feet), Grisham scored and Rice scored.4–0