Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

ATL @ ARI

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ Grant Holmes vs Eduardo RodriguezApple TV
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 2 · Arizona Diamondbacks 0

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Atlanta Braves is the model’s call — Atlanta Braves on the margin numbers, Atlanta Braves on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 96%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Atlanta Braves

Arizona Diamondbacks

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30
Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOlson homered to left center (426 feet).9th Inning2–0
  2. ScoreAlbies homered to right (382 feet).9th Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves000000002260
Arizona Diamondbacks000000000020

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·1-4401000013.179.314.214
Drake Baldwin C·1-4401000010.281.361.594
Ozzie Albies 2B·3-441311008.355.412.548
Matt Olson 1B·1-4411110115.313.353.625
Austin Riley 3B·0-4400000116.214.313.250
Eli White CF·0-3300000012.111.200.111
Robert Suarez RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Dominic Smith 1B0-110000017.353.421.706
Raisel Iglesias RP0-000000000.000.000.000
Mauricio Dubon SS·0-4400000110.360.407.520
Michael Harris II CF·0-2200001015.226.250.355
Jonah Heim C·0-220000005.000.300.000
Mike Yastrzemski LF0-110000013.273.360.455

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant Holmes SP·6.010034085-522.4585
Dylan Lee RP1.010001011-90.0011
Robert Suarez RP1.00000008-50.008
Raisel Iglesias RP1.000000016-100.0016

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte 2B·1-440100009.167.265.267
Corbin Carroll RF·0-2200002118.269.375.615
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-4400000020.214.290.393
Gabriel Moreno C·0-4400000115.192.250.269
Nolan Arenado 3B·0-3300000115.167.167.167
Alek Thomas CF·1-330100008.154.185.269
James McCann C·0-330000019.111.200.222
Carlos Santana 1B·0-330000019.043.120.087
Tim Tawa LF·0-2200001017.222.300.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP·7.040013090-560.0090
Juan Morillo RP1.00000106-54.506
Paul Sewald RP0.222201216-126.0016
Ryan Thompson RP0.10000002-20.002

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningTawa walked.
  2. 9th InningSmith struck out swinging.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  5. 5th InningHarris II walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningOlson homered to left center (426 feet).2–0
  2. 9th InningAlbies homered to right (382 feet).1–0

Trending