CIN @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor3:05 PM CT⚾ Brady Singer vs MacKenzie GoreMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds 5 · Texas Rangers 3
Final
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Cincinnati Reds is the model’s call — Texas Rangers on the margin numbers, Texas Rangers on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 76%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 2.
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 76%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
Cincinnati Reds
Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreStephenson homered to right center (382 feet), Steer scored.5–3
- 🏃 DoubleLangford doubled to right, Nimmo scored.3–3
- ScoreDe La Cruz homered to left center (385 feet).3–2
- ScoreSteer homered to left center (399 feet), Suárez scored.2–0
- 🏃 DoubleJansen doubled to left, Carter scored and Jung scored.2–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .231 | .375 | .269 |
| Dane Myers CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .308 | .308 | .308 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .214 | .290 | .536 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .391 | .533 | .783 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .259 | .286 | .481 |
| Spencer Steer LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .143 | .208 | .333 |
| TJ Friedl CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .091 | .259 | .091 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .176 | .222 | .353 |
| Noelvi Marte RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .000 | .167 | .000 |
| Will Benson RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .154 | .214 | .308 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .105 | .190 | .105 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 87-58 | 5.00 | 87 |
| Sam Moll RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12-6 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Graham Ashcraft RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 3.60 | 17 |
| Tony Santillan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-7 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Emilio Pagan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 10.38 | 13 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | .414 | .485 | .621 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .188 | .188 | .344 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .269 | .375 | .615 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .333 | .355 | .600 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .000 | .154 | .000 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .375 | .412 | .688 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .143 | .250 | .143 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .125 | .160 | .125 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .250 | .348 | .400 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .286 | .286 | .524 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Gore SP· | 6.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 88-57 | 3.97 | 88 |
| Cole Winn RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-11 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Chris Martin RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23-16 | 13.50 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningStephenson homered to right center (382 feet), Steer scored.5–3
- 7th InningJansen struck out swinging.
- 7th InningStephenson singled to right.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningStephenson homered to right center (382 feet), Steer scored.5–3
- 7th InningLangford doubled to right, Nimmo scored.3–3
- 6th InningDe La Cruz homered to left center (385 feet).3–2
- 2nd InningSteer homered to left center (399 feet), Suárez scored.2–0
- 2nd InningJansen doubled to left, Carter scored and Jung scored.2–2